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8053:TSESumitomo Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

¥6,547.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sumitomo Corp trades at a PE ratio of 13.1, well below the industry average of 31.4, and the DCF model suggests an upside of roughly 19.6%. The balance sheet shows abundant cash (over ¥1 trillion) offset by a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, while margins remain modest (gross 20.6%, operating 6.0%) and revenue growth is slightly negative at –0.9%. These fundamentals point to a value‑oriented investment case with limited growth upside but solid cash generation.
On the technical side, the stock sits above its identified support at ¥6,119 and below the 20‑day SMA (¥6,812), with a RSI of 45.6 indicating neutral momentum. The MACD is bearish, volume is decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is high at ~42%, suggesting short‑term caution despite an overall bullish trend direction. The beta of 0.86 and a “Extreme Greed” sentiment index further temper the risk profile, making a measured approach prudent.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support level of ¥6,119
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume and neutral RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to peers (PE 13.1 vs 31.4)
  • Upside potential of ~19.6% from DCF
  • Strong cash position offsetting high debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified conglomerate exposure across industrials and energy transition
  • Stable cash generation and solid ROE (~13.5%)
  • Value‑oriented pricing with limited dividend expectations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin8.18%
P/E Ratio13.1
ROE13.52%
ROA1.97%
Debt/Equity99.40
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow¥813.5B
Free Cash Flow¥384.4B
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.6
Support¥6,119.00
Resistance¥7,448.00
MA 20¥6,811.75
MA 50¥6,601.78
MA 200¥5,566.91
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.41

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,171.18
Target Price¥7,830.00
Upside/Downside19.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.86
Volatility41.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.