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8046:TWSENan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

NT$819.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its short‑term moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness. Momentum indicators hover near the neutral zone, with the RSI just under the midpoint and the MACD histogram in negative territory. Volume has been trending lower, adding to the bearish technical bias. Despite a bullish longer‑term trend classification, the price remains well above the fair‑value estimate derived from discounted cash‑flow analysis. The price‑to‑earnings multiple is dramatically higher than both the company’s historical range and the industry average, flagging severe overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest and the payout ratio sits at a comfortable level, suggesting the dividend can be maintained.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is expanding at a robust pace, yet margins and return metrics remain modest. The balance sheet shows ample cash relative to debt, providing a solid cushion for operations and dividend support. Forward earnings expectations are improving, narrowing the gap between forward and trailing valuation multiples. However, the combination of high volatility, decreasing liquidity and exposure to multiple geopolitical regions adds to the risk profile. Given the current pricing disconnection from intrinsic value, the stock appears more suitable for a cautious stance rather than aggressive buying. Investors should monitor technical support levels and any shifts in earnings momentum before adjusting their positions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • negative MACD histogram
  • decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth trajectory
  • forward earnings improving
  • valuation still above intrinsic estimate

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation premium
  • modest profitability margins
  • high volatility and geopolitical exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth32.10%
Profit Margin7.11%
P/E Ratio270.3
ROE6.63%
ROA3.31%
Debt/Equity2.52
P/B Ratio11.3
Op. Cash FlowNT$4.5B
Free Cash FlowNT$4.0B
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.8
SupportNT$761.00
ResistanceNT$966.00
MA 20NT$862.25
MA 50NT$825.08
MA 200NT$435.88
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$236.12
Target PriceNT$897.45
Upside/Downside9.58%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility78.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.