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7974:TSENintendo Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-04 - not real-time

¥8,849.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥8,849.00, Nintendo Co., Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have gained 26.4%. RSI sits at 59.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥7,624.00 and resistance around ¥9,180.00.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 24.3 sits above the sector average of 16.4. Consensus targets land 17.2% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 9.5%. The 2.47% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 45.3%, a beta of 0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 53.7%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 4/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

Nintendo TSE:7974 has drawn fresh attention after unveiling Fire Emblem: Fortune’s Weave for Nintendo Switch 2, set...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 9010.36
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of +26.4%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 16.4
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 9010.36
  • Analyst targets imply +17.2% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 16.4
  • Analyst targets imply +17.2% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -9.5%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.50%
P/E Ratio24.3
P/B Ratio3.5
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.7
Support¥7,624.00
Resistance¥9,180.00
MA 20¥8,722.25
MA 50¥7,818.68
MA 200¥9,010.36
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.86

Valuation

Target Price¥10,374.80
Upside/Downside17.24%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility45.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.