7974:TSENintendo Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time
¥7,153.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, signaling short‑term weakness, yet the MACD histogram has turned positive, hinting at a potential bullish reversal. Price sits near a well‑defined support level and faces resistance just above the current range, while volatility remains elevated, suggesting larger price swings. A very low beta underscores limited sensitivity to broader market moves, which can be advantageous in a choppy environment.
Fundamental outlook: Nintendo delivers robust revenue growth and healthy profit margins, supported by a massive cash reserve and zero debt. The dividend yield is solid with a comfortable payout ratio, and the DCF‑derived fair value points to a substantial upside relative to the current price. Analyst consensus is bullish, and the company’s iconic IP portfolio provides a durable competitive edge.
Fundamental outlook: Nintendo delivers robust revenue growth and healthy profit margins, supported by a massive cash reserve and zero debt. The dividend yield is solid with a comfortable payout ratio, and the DCF‑derived fair value points to a substantial upside relative to the current price. Analyst consensus is bullish, and the company’s iconic IP portfolio provides a durable competitive edge.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price near key support with technical bounce potential
- MACD histogram turning positive despite bearish trend
- strong cash position enables opportunistic buying
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests meaningful upside
- zero‑debt balance sheet and robust free cash flow
- attractive dividend yield enhances total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- sustainable dividend and ongoing cash generation
- global IP franchise strength provides enduring revenue streams
- moderate sector cyclicality balanced by low market beta
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth95.10%
Profit Margin18.33%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE14.93%
ROA6.25%
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow¥289.8B
Free Cash Flow¥277.4B
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.4
Support¥6,544.00
Resistance¥7,898.00
MA 20¥7,099.95
MA 50¥7,309.54
MA 200¥10,114.66
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.59
Valuation
Fair Value¥10,600.46
Target Price¥10,281.88
Upside/Downside43.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility38.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.