7974:TSENintendo Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥8,918.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below both the short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, with a bearish price trend and an RSI hovering around the midpoint, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating a potential bullish reversal, and volume remains stable, providing a solid base for a bounce off the identified support level.
Fundamental backdrop: Nintendo posted record hardware sales and strong profit growth in the latest quarter, backed by a cash‑rich balance sheet, zero debt, and a sustainable dividend payout. Valuation metrics are elevated relative to peers, but the company’s strong brand, IP collaborations, and consistent cash generation support a buy case for medium to long horizons.
Fundamental backdrop: Nintendo posted record hardware sales and strong profit growth in the latest quarter, backed by a cash‑rich balance sheet, zero debt, and a sustainable dividend payout. Valuation metrics are elevated relative to peers, but the company’s strong brand, IP collaborations, and consistent cash generation support a buy case for medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price below moving averages indicating short‑term weakness
- positive MACD histogram suggesting possible reversal
- stable volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- record Switch sales driving earnings momentum
- strong cash position and zero‑debt balance sheet
- expanding IP collaborations enhancing revenue streams
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- iconic franchise portfolio providing durable competitive advantage
- consistent dividend with sustainable payout ratio
- low beta and defensive financial profile mitigating market volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth86.30%
Profit Margin18.94%
P/E Ratio28.2
ROE14.13%
ROA5.78%
P/B Ratio3.5
Industry P/E18.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.2
Support¥8,350.00
Resistance¥9,097.00
MA 20¥8,644.05
MA 50¥9,570.54
MA 200¥12,040.69
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Target Price¥12,364.27
Upside/Downside38.64%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.79
Volatility47.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.