7974:TSENintendo Co., Ltd. analysis
Data as of Oct 18, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- ¥8,479.00
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
At ¥8,479.00, Nintendo Co., Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 6.2%. RSI sits at 59.8, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥7,727.00 and resistance around ¥8,588.00.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 20.7 sits above the sector average of 16.2. Consensus targets land 20.7% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 9.5%. The 2.58% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 32.3%, a beta of 0.21 and a maximum drawdown of 53.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Valuation screens as fair: a P/E of 20.7 sits above the sector average of 16.2. Consensus targets land 20.7% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 9.5%. The 2.58% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 32.3%, a beta of 0.21 and a maximum drawdown of 53.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Nintendo TSE:7974 has announced two new Nintendo Switch 2 bundles that pair the console with upcoming exclusive titles.
- Nintendo TSE:7974 has drawn fresh attention after unveiling Fire Emblem: Fortune’s Weave for Nintendo Switch 2, set...
- Nintendo TSE:7974 just unveiled two Nintendo Switch 2 hardware bundles built around Mario Kart World and Nintendo...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 8416.08
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 20.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Trading above the 200-day average of 8416.08
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 20.7 versus sector average of 16.2
- Analyst targets imply +20.7% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -9.5%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-9.50%
P/E Ratio20.7
P/B Ratio3.4
Industry P/E16.2
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.8
Support¥7,727.00
Resistance¥8,588.00
MA 20¥8,073.40
MA 50¥8,327.40
MA 200¥8,416.08
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index85.73
Valuation
Target Price¥10,237.31
Upside/Downside20.74%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.58%
Risk assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility32.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.