7936:TSEAsics Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
¥4,460.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ASICS Corp (7936.T) is trading at ¥4,460, which sits just below its 20‑day SMA of ¥4,605 but remains above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a mixed short‑term technical picture. The RSI of 51.8 suggests neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram (‑¥53.6) and decreasing volume point to potential near‑term weakness, with the next support around ¥3,955 and resistance at ¥4,964. Despite these signals, the stock benefits from a bullish trend direction flag and a relatively low beta (~0.77), implying modest market sensitivity amid the sector’s cyclical nature.
Fundamentally, ASICS delivers strong growth—revenues rose 21.4% and gross margins stand at 56.8%—and profitability is robust with a 12.2% profit margin and a striking ROE of 38.9%. However, valuation metrics are elevated: a trailing PE of 32, forward PE of 44, and a price‑to‑book of 11.6 contrast sharply with a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,357, hinting at overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest at 0.86% with a 20% payout, which appears sustainable given ample cash flow and a solid balance sheet.
Fundamentally, ASICS delivers strong growth—revenues rose 21.4% and gross margins stand at 56.8%—and profitability is robust with a 12.2% profit margin and a striking ROE of 38.9%. However, valuation metrics are elevated: a trailing PE of 32, forward PE of 44, and a price‑to‑book of 11.6 contrast sharply with a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,357, hinting at overvaluation. The dividend yield is modest at 0.86% with a 20% payout, which appears sustainable given ample cash flow and a solid balance sheet.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Price near immediate support at ¥3,955
- High 30‑day volatility (~41%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (21.4%) and high ROE (38.9%)
- Upside potential toward analyst median target of ¥5,200
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Durable brand equity in footwear & accessories
- Consistent cash generation and low debt leverage
- Long‑term growth prospects despite current overvaluation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.40%
Profit Margin12.17%
P/E Ratio32.3
ROE38.89%
ROA16.11%
Debt/Equity36.05
P/B Ratio11.6
Op. Cash Flow¥109.9B
Free Cash Flow¥71.9B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.8
Support¥3,955.00
Resistance¥4,964.00
MA 20¥4,605.95
MA 50¥4,199.10
MA 200¥3,868.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index73.04
Valuation
Fair Value¥3,356.65
Target Price¥5,150.00
Upside/Downside15.47%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.86%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.77
Volatility40.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.