7867:TSETomy Company, Ltd. Analysis

TOMY Co. is trading at ¥2,925.5, just below its 20‑day SMA of ¥2,971.3 and slightly under the 200‑day SMA of ¥2,934.7, while the 50‑day SMA remains supportive at ¥2,803.7. The MACD histogram is negative (‑23.0) and the signal line is bearish, indicating short‑term downside pressure, and volume has been trending lower, suggesting waning buying interest. However, the RSI sits around 51, implying the stock is not yet oversold, and volatility is elevated at 41.5% over the past month, which could amplify price swings.
Fundamentally, the company posted 12% revenue growth, maintains a solid gross margin of 40%, and generates a free cash flow of ¥6.66 bn, comfortably covering its dividend payout of 48.7% with a 2.39% yield. The forward P/E of 13.6 and a price‑to‑sales ratio below 1.0 point to relative cheapness, though the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,173 suggests the market may be pricing in a premium. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with a blend of growth and income attributes, but technicals warn of near‑term weakness.