7867:TSETomy Company, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time
¥3,699.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind TOMY Company, Ltd. is bullish at ¥3,699.00, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 11.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 61.3 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bearish. Watch ¥3,338.00 as support and ¥3,760.00 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is overvalued — an earnings multiple of 28.2, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 5.5% below the current price. Revenue is growing at 7.7% on a 4.5% profit margin. The 1.92% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.2%, a beta of -0.33 and a maximum drawdown of 26.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
On valuation the read is overvalued — an earnings multiple of 28.2, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Analyst price targets sit 5.5% below the current price. Revenue is growing at 7.7% on a 4.5% profit margin. The 1.92% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.2%, a beta of -0.33 and a maximum drawdown of 26.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 3 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 2962.32
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 2962.32
- Analyst targets imply -5.5% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply -5.5% versus the current price
- P/E ratio of 28.2
- 30-day volatility of 42.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.70%
Profit Margin4.49%
P/E Ratio28.2
ROE11.72%
ROA9.87%
Debt/Equity5.32
P/B Ratio2.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.3
Support¥3,338.00
Resistance¥3,760.00
MA 20¥3,618.10
MA 50¥3,392.35
MA 200¥2,962.32
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84
Valuation
Target Price¥3,495.00
Upside/Downside-5.52%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.92%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.33
Volatility42.18%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.