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7741:TSEHOYA CORPORATION Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-29 - not real-time

MX$2,841.89

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HOYA Corp. is trading at ¥2,842, comfortably above its 50‑day SMA (¥2,759) but just below the 20‑day SMA (¥2,871), indicating a short‑term price pullback within an overall bullish trend. The RSI sits at 53, suggesting neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces the near‑term downside pressure. Volume is increasing, and volatility over the past 30 days is high at roughly 30 %, which could amplify price swings. On the fundamentals side, revenue is growing at 15 % YoY, margins are robust (gross 55 %, operating 27 %), and ROE stands at 25 %, reflecting strong profitability. The balance sheet is cash‑rich with a net‑cash position that dwarfs its modest debt, supporting a sustainable dividend yield of 1.2 % with a payout ratio under 40 %. Despite a trailing P/E of 35×—well above the industry average of 26×—the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥14,307 suggests the stock is significantly undervalued relative to its intrinsic potential. Recent FDA clearance for new endoscopy devices adds a catalyst that could lift the medical‑device segment and improve market perception.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent FDA clearance provides a positive news catalyst
  • Bearish MACD and price below the 20‑day SMA signal limited upside
  • Increasing volume amid high 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 15 % revenue growth and high operating margins
  • DCF fair value far exceeds current price, indicating upside potential
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust ROE and ROA demonstrating durable profitability
  • Large net‑cash position and low systematic risk (negative beta)
  • Continued diversification across medical and optical segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.10%
Profit Margin26.70%
P/E Ratio35.3
ROE25.06%
ROA15.15%
Debt/Equity4.08
P/B Ratio8.7
Op. Cash FlowMX$278.4B
Free Cash FlowMX$170.2B
Industry P/E25.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.2
SupportMX$2,750.59
ResistanceMX$3,028.62
MA 20MX$2,870.93
MA 50MX$2,758.89
MA 200MX$2,365.06
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Fair ValueMX$14,307.24
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.19
Volatility29.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.