7564:TSEWorkman Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
¥5,870.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Workman Co.,Ltd. is trading at ¥5,870, just below its 20‑day SMA (¥5,885) and well under its 50‑day and 200‑day averages, suggesting a short‑term correction within a broader neutral trend. The RSI of 39.8 signals that the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bullish MACD histogram (+64) indicates potential upward momentum. Support sits at ¥5,530 and resistance at ¥6,460, giving a modest upside of roughly 10% on technical grounds.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong top‑line growth (24.6% YoY) and solid profitability (12.2% operating margin, 12.8% net margin). Valuation is mixed: a forward PE of 18.6 is attractive, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,636 is far below the market price, flagging possible overvaluation. The dividend yield of 1.5% with a 35% payout ratio appears sustainable given ample cash (¥83.7 bn) and low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 1.1).
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong top‑line growth (24.6% YoY) and solid profitability (12.2% operating margin, 12.8% net margin). Valuation is mixed: a forward PE of 18.6 is attractive, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,636 is far below the market price, flagging possible overvaluation. The dividend yield of 1.5% with a 35% payout ratio appears sustainable given ample cash (¥83.7 bn) and low leverage (debt‑to‑equity 1.1).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram suggests near‑term price recovery
- RSI near oversold level provides upside potential
- Proximity to strong support at ¥5,530 limits downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth of 24.6% and improving margins
- Target median price of ¥7,285 implies ~25% upside
- Sustainable dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistent cash generation and low net debt
- Consumer‑cyclical exposure moderates long‑run stability
- Valuation appears stretched relative to DCF fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.60%
Profit Margin12.82%
P/E Ratio23.3
ROE14.28%
ROA10.68%
Debt/Equity1.10
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow¥18.8B
Free Cash Flow¥3.9B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI39.8
Support¥5,530.00
Resistance¥6,460.00
MA 20¥5,885.50
MA 50¥6,739.20
MA 200¥6,633.40
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,635.66
Target Price¥7,377.00
Upside/Downside25.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.52%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility35.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.