7550:TSEZensho Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
¥7,842.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term, intermediate‑term and long‑term moving averages, with a low‑to‑mid RSI and a bearish MACD histogram, signalling continued downside momentum. Volume is rising, but the price is hovering near a key support level while facing a distant resistance barrier, and recent volatility has been notably high, suggesting price swings may persist.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth remains solid, and margins are respectable for the restaurant sector, providing a stable cash‑flow base. However, the balance sheet is weighted heavily toward debt, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is elevated, and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable valuation gap. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is comfortably low, indicating sustainability. Overall, the company blends decent growth fundamentals with a pricing premium that may be hard to justify in the near term.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth remains solid, and margins are respectable for the restaurant sector, providing a stable cash‑flow base. However, the balance sheet is weighted heavily toward debt, the price‑to‑earnings multiple is elevated, and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable valuation gap. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio is comfortably low, indicating sustainability. Overall, the company blends decent growth fundamentals with a pricing premium that may be hard to justify in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical indicators
- price below key moving averages
- elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- steady revenue growth
- sustainable dividend policy
- high leverage on the balance sheet
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- diversified restaurant and retail portfolio
- strong cash‑flow generation
- potential for operational improvements to unlock value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.90%
Profit Margin3.62%
P/E Ratio28.4
ROE15.74%
ROA5.74%
Debt/Equity115.91
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow¥101.2B
Free Cash Flow¥14.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.5
Support¥7,425.00
Resistance¥9,200.00
MA 20¥8,271.85
MA 50¥8,840.44
MA 200¥9,165.32
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value¥414.66
Target Price¥10,433.33
Upside/Downside33.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.02%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility49.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.