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754:HKEXHopson Development Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

¥579.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Three F Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥579, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (¥570.9) and 50‑day SMA (¥575.9) but still below the near‑term resistance of ¥592, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Technicals are mixed: the MACD shows a bullish signal (line above signal) while the RSI sits at 55.8, indicating neutral momentum, and volume is on a decreasing trend, which could temper short‑term rallies. Fundamentally, the stock appears solid – a PE of 11.5× and PB of 1.08× point to a fair‑to‑undervalued valuation, while a 3.78% dividend yield backed by a low payout ratio (23.8%) and a cash pile of ¥4.54 bn (no debt) underscores financial resilience. Operating metrics are strong, with a gross margin of 78% and ROE of 19.8%, though profit margins are modest at 2.7% and revenue growth is modest at 8.5%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bullish MACD but decreasing volume
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong overbought/oversold pressure
  • Strong cash position and attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 8.5% and high gross margin supporting earnings expansion
  • Zero debt and low beta (0.28) offering defensive stability
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 3.78% enhancing total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive consumer sector reduces cyclicality risk
  • Consistently high ROE (~20%) and solid cash reserves
  • Limited upside potential given proximity to resistance and modest profit margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.50%
Profit Margin2.74%
P/E Ratio11.5
ROE19.80%
ROA16.41%
P/B Ratio1.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.8
Support¥542.00
Resistance¥592.00
MA 20¥570.90
MA 50¥575.88
MA 200¥539.86
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.23

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.78%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility17.51%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.