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7459:TSEMEDIPAL HOLDINGS Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥2,795.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MediPal Holdings trades at ¥2,795, hovering just above the calculated support level of ¥2,766 and well below its 20‑day SMA of ¥2,934, indicating short‑term price pressure. The stock’s RSI of 38 suggests it is edging toward oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains firmly negative, flagging bearish momentum despite a broader bullish trend classification. Fundamentally, the company appears attractively priced – its forward P/E of 16.2 is well under the industry average of 26.2, and a price‑to‑book of 0.89 signals a discount to net assets. With a solid dividend yield of 2.29% and a modest payout ratio of 32%, the dividend stream looks sustainable given the company’s cash‑rich balance sheet (¥275.9 bn) and zero debt. Volatility over the past 30 days sits near 23%, but a very low beta of 0.18 points to limited market‑wide price swings.
Looking ahead, the modest 3.2% revenue growth and thin margins temper expectations for rapid earnings acceleration, yet the defensive healthcare‑distribution sector provides a stable earnings base. The market’s “Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 72.9) aligns with the current pricing bias, while analyst consensus shows no clear recommendation, underscoring a need for disciplined assessment. Overall, the combination of undervalued multiples, reliable dividend, and low financial risk supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support level
  • Bearish MACD histogram despite bullish trend label
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation discounts (P/E, P/B) versus industry
  • Sustainable dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • Low beta and strong cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive healthcare distribution sector
  • Zero debt and ample liquidity
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin1.10%
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE6.73%
ROA1.68%
P/B Ratio0.9
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.2
Support¥2,766.00
Resistance¥3,070.00
MA 20¥2,934.48
MA 50¥2,885.45
MA 200¥2,624.12
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥2,714.00
Upside/Downside-2.90%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility22.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.