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7453:TSERyohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

¥3,453.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ryohin Keikaku is trading at ¥3,453, which sits below its 20‑day (¥3,587) and 50‑day (¥3,595) moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness, while still above the 200‑day SMA (¥3,288) and showing a neutral RSI of 44.6. The MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 37%, suggesting a choppy near‑term environment. On the fundamentals side, revenue fell 3.3% YoY, profit margin is negative (‑1.7%), and free cash flow is negative, yet the forward EPS is expected to rise to ¥157.5 (forward PE 21.9) and analysts project a median target of ¥4,300, implying roughly 20% upside. The stock carries a high PE (31.2) and PB (5.0), a modest dividend yield of 0.91% with a 26.7% payout, and a low beta (~0.05) indicating limited market‑wide price sensitivity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMAs
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median target ¥4,300 (+20% upside)
  • Improving forward EPS and lower forward PE
  • Low beta suggesting limited market risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand diversification across retail, housing and services
  • Negative profit margin and free cash flow concerns
  • Modest dividend yield with limited payout capacity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.30%
Profit Margin-1.73%
P/E Ratio31.2
ROE-4.76%
ROA3.27%
Debt/Equity59.90
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow¥12.4B
Free Cash Flow¥-7559249920

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.6
Support¥3,265.00
Resistance¥3,907.00
MA 20¥3,587.00
MA 50¥3,595.08
MA 200¥3,288.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value¥179.61
Target Price¥4,176.67
Upside/Downside20.96%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.91%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility37.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.