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7309:TSEShimano Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time

¥19,255.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥19,255.00, Shimano Inc. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 3.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 45.5 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Watch ¥18,835.00 as support and ¥20,775.00 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 28.8 with no clean sector comparison available. Revenue is growing at 4.5% on a 12.2% profit margin. The 1.89% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 40.3%, a beta of 0.03 and a maximum drawdown of 17.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 17246.15
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 17246.15
  • 30-day volatility of 40.3%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E ratio of 28.8
  • 30-day volatility of 40.3%
  • Dividend yield of 1.89%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin12.18%
P/E Ratio28.8
ROE6.85%
ROA3.43%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow¥71.8B
Free Cash Flow¥6.9B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI45.5
Support¥18,835.00
Resistance¥20,775.00
MA 20¥19,857.75
MA 50¥18,948.20
MA 200¥17,246.15
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Fair Value¥6,699.88
Target Price¥19,058.64
Upside/Downside-1.02%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility40.26%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.