7211:TSEMitsubishi Motors Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time
SAR 22.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Saudi Azm is trading at SAR 22.8, which sits below its 20‑day SMA (≈23.75) and just under the 50‑day SMA (≈22.89), indicating a modest short‑term weakness. The RSI of 42.6 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest momentum is currently neutral‑to‑negative, while the price is hugging the identified support level of SAR 22.8 and faces resistance near SAR 25.34. Volatility is elevated at roughly 31% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of only 0.04 points to minimal market‑wide price swings. On the valuation front, the stock’s PE of 31.2 is below the industry average of 38.6, but the DCF‑derived fair value of SAR 12.05 and a price‑to‑book of 9× imply the market is pricing the company well above intrinsic estimates. Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at a healthy 17.5% CAGR, margins are modest (gross 27%, operating 15%), and the balance sheet is strong with SAR 120 m cash against SAR 21 m debt (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 14%). No dividend is paid, and cash conversion is solid, though free cash flow is currently zero, reflecting reinvestment needs.
The combination of high short‑term volatility, decreasing trading volume, and an overvalued pricing narrative creates a cautious outlook. However, the company’s cash cushion, low market beta, and growth‑oriented revenue trajectory provide a modest defensive buffer for longer horizons. Investors should weigh the immediate technical downside against the medium‑term growth prospects and the significant valuation gap before deciding on exposure.
The combination of high short‑term volatility, decreasing trading volume, and an overvalued pricing narrative creates a cautious outlook. However, the company’s cash cushion, low market beta, and growth‑oriented revenue trajectory provide a modest defensive buffer for longer horizons. Investors should weigh the immediate technical downside against the medium‑term growth prospects and the significant valuation gap before deciding on exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
- Decreasing volume and proximity to support
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and solid cash position
- Persistent valuation premium despite lower PE than peers
- Low beta limiting market‑wide downside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term digital transformation demand in Saudi Arabia
- High price‑to‑book and DCF gap suggesting price correction risk
- Stable balance sheet with low leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.50%
Profit Margin16.45%
P/E Ratio31.2
Debt/Equity14.04
P/B Ratio9.0
Op. Cash FlowSAR32.1M
Industry P/E38.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.6
SupportSAR 22.80
ResistanceSAR 25.34
MA 20SAR 23.75
MA 50SAR 22.89
MA 200SAR 24.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 12.05
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility30.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.