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6971:TSEKyocera Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥2,625.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kyocera’s price is trading above its short‑term support and comfortably under the 52‑week high, with the 20‑day SMA sitting above the 50‑day SMA, suggesting a bullish technical backdrop. The RSI hovers around the neutral zone and the MACD has turned bearish, indicating mixed short‑term momentum. Fundamentally, revenue is growing at a healthy pace but profitability is modest, with ROE under 4% and operating margins in the low single digits.
The stock carries an extremely high price‑to‑earnings multiple far above the industry average, while the DCF‑derived fair value sits well below the current market price, flagging significant overvaluation. Dividend sustainability is questionable given a payout ratio well over 100%, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above ten points to a leveraged balance sheet. Volatility is elevated, though beta remains low, and market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase, adding to the cautionary tone.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish trend with price above support
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • High valuation relative to earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth offset by thin margins
  • Elevated volatility and overvaluation
  • Unsustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent overvaluation versus DCF fair value
  • High leverage and low return on equity
  • Dividend yield unlikely to be maintained

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.50%
Profit Margin5.07%
P/E Ratio84.7
ROE3.19%
ROA1.16%
Debt/Equity10.17
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥212.7B
Free Cash Flow¥2.3B
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.0
Support¥2,468.00
Resistance¥2,817.50
MA 20¥2,665.03
MA 50¥2,446.99
MA 200¥2,049.64
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value¥116.80
Target Price¥2,271.07
Upside/Downside-13.50%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.90%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility44.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.