6969:HKEXSmoore International Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time
NT$26.40
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at TWD 26.4, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of 27.39 and 50‑day SMA of 28.39, confirming a bearish price trend. Momentum indicators are also weak – the RSI is at 28.9, well under the 30 oversold threshold, and the MACD line sits at –0.52 versus a signal at –0.45, generating a bearish MACD signal. Price is hugging the identified support at 26.05 with resistance near 28.55, while volume is increasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 11.9%, suggesting potential for further downside and a recent max drawdown of nearly 50%.
Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth of 3.9% but is unprofitable with a –1.35% profit margin and a trailing EPS of –0.09. Its balance sheet is strained, carrying a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 97.5 and total debt that dwarfs cash reserves. Nonetheless, the discounted cash flow model estimates a fair value of TWD 58.5, implying the market is pricing the stock at less than half of intrinsic value. The price‑to‑book ratio of 2.38 and lack of dividend further highlight a value‑oriented, turnaround‑focused investment case, albeit with significant financial and operational risks.
Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth of 3.9% but is unprofitable with a –1.35% profit margin and a trailing EPS of –0.09. Its balance sheet is strained, carrying a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 97.5 and total debt that dwarfs cash reserves. Nonetheless, the discounted cash flow model estimates a fair value of TWD 58.5, implying the market is pricing the stock at less than half of intrinsic value. The price‑to‑book ratio of 2.38 and lack of dividend further highlight a value‑oriented, turnaround‑focused investment case, albeit with significant financial and operational risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA positions)
- Proximity to support with high volatility
- Negative earnings and high debt load
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- Improving cash flow generation
- Need for debt reduction and earnings turnaround
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Sector tailwinds in urban mining and recycling
- Potential upside if intrinsic value is realized
- Long‑run environmental and ESG demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.90%
Profit Margin-1.35%
ROE-1.21%
ROA1.07%
Debt/Equity97.50
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowNT$112.5M
Free Cash FlowNT$188.1M
Industry P/E31.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.9
SupportNT$26.05
ResistanceNT$28.55
MA 20NT$27.39
MA 50NT$28.39
MA 200NT$32.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$58.53
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.51
Volatility11.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.