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6969:HKEXSmoore International Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

NT$26.40

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at TWD 26.4, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of 27.39 and 50‑day SMA of 28.39, confirming a bearish price trend. Momentum indicators are also weak – the RSI is at 28.9, well under the 30 oversold threshold, and the MACD line sits at –0.52 versus a signal at –0.45, generating a bearish MACD signal. Price is hugging the identified support at 26.05 with resistance near 28.55, while volume is increasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 11.9%, suggesting potential for further downside and a recent max drawdown of nearly 50%.
Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth of 3.9% but is unprofitable with a –1.35% profit margin and a trailing EPS of –0.09. Its balance sheet is strained, carrying a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 97.5 and total debt that dwarfs cash reserves. Nonetheless, the discounted cash flow model estimates a fair value of TWD 58.5, implying the market is pricing the stock at less than half of intrinsic value. The price‑to‑book ratio of 2.38 and lack of dividend further highlight a value‑oriented, turnaround‑focused investment case, albeit with significant financial and operational risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, SMA positions)
  • Proximity to support with high volatility
  • Negative earnings and high debt load

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Improving cash flow generation
  • Need for debt reduction and earnings turnaround

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Sector tailwinds in urban mining and recycling
  • Potential upside if intrinsic value is realized
  • Long‑run environmental and ESG demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.90%
Profit Margin-1.35%
ROE-1.21%
ROA1.07%
Debt/Equity97.50
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowNT$112.5M
Free Cash FlowNT$188.1M
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI28.9
SupportNT$26.05
ResistanceNT$28.55
MA 20NT$27.39
MA 50NT$28.39
MA 200NT$32.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$58.53
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.51
Volatility11.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.