6951:TSEJEOL Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥6,456.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JEOL Ltd. shows a short‑term bullish bias as its 20‑day simple moving average sits above the 50‑day average, yet the MACD histogram is deeply negative, flagging bearish momentum.
The RSI is comfortably below the 50‑point midpoint, indicating that price upside potential remains, while the stock trades in a high‑volatility environment (≈47% 30‑day swing) and near the upper edge of its support‑resistance band, just below the 7,475 resistance ceiling.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued – its trailing P/E of roughly 15 is well under the industry average of about 37, and the forward P/E near 12 adds a value tilt. Dividend yield sits at a modest 2% with a low payout ratio, supporting sustainability.
Overall, the blend of low systematic beta (<1), a solid cash‑flow base, and a stable dividend makes the stock attractive for longer horizons, while the current technical mix suggests caution in the very near term.
The RSI is comfortably below the 50‑point midpoint, indicating that price upside potential remains, while the stock trades in a high‑volatility environment (≈47% 30‑day swing) and near the upper edge of its support‑resistance band, just below the 7,475 resistance ceiling.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued – its trailing P/E of roughly 15 is well under the industry average of about 37, and the forward P/E near 12 adds a value tilt. Dividend yield sits at a modest 2% with a low payout ratio, supporting sustainability.
Overall, the blend of low systematic beta (<1), a solid cash‑flow base, and a stable dividend makes the stock attractive for longer horizons, while the current technical mix suggests caution in the very near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside pressure
- price positioned just below the 7,475 resistance level
- elevated 30‑day volatility amplifying near‑term risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- valuation gap – trailing P/E far below industry average
- low systematic beta (<1) reducing market‑wide risk
- sustainable dividend with modest payout and solid cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- undervalued relative to sector peers (PE and PB ratios)
- strong free cash flow and healthy operating cash generation
- low debt‑to‑equity leverage and robust balance sheet strength
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-17.90%
Profit Margin12.32%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE15.70%
ROA7.00%
Debt/Equity18.70
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow¥16.0B
Free Cash Flow¥1.9B
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.0
Support¥6,028.00
Resistance¥7,475.00
MA 20¥6,765.20
MA 50¥6,535.70
MA 200¥5,670.82
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥769.30
Target Price¥7,240.00
Upside/Downside12.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.04%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility47.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.