6951:TSEJEOL Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
¥6,054.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JEOL Ltd. is trading just above its 20‑day SMA of 6,399 and well above the 50‑day SMA, indicating short‑term price support, while the 200‑day SMA remains far lower, underscoring a longer‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits at 44, suggesting neutral momentum, but the MACD histogram is deep in negative territory and the signal line is bearish, warning of possible short‑term pull‑back. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 41%, yet the beta of 0.64 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 17.6 versus an industry average of 34.2, and a forward P/E near 11, marking the stock as clearly undervalued. The dividend yield of 1.77% coupled with a modest payout ratio of 33% signals sustainable income.
Fundamentally, revenue has slipped modestly by 2.8% while margins stay healthy (gross ~46%, operating ~20%). Strong cash of ¥38 bn offsets a moderate debt load, delivering a comfortable balance sheet. Forward EPS projections suggest robust earnings growth, and analyst targets imply upside of roughly 13% with a median price of ¥7,300. The combination of attractive valuation, solid cash generation, and a stable dividend makes JEOL a compelling candidate for investors seeking both value and income.
Fundamentally, revenue has slipped modestly by 2.8% while margins stay healthy (gross ~46%, operating ~20%). Strong cash of ¥38 bn offsets a moderate debt load, delivering a comfortable balance sheet. Forward EPS projections suggest robust earnings growth, and analyst targets imply upside of roughly 13% with a median price of ¥7,300. The combination of attractive valuation, solid cash generation, and a stable dividend makes JEOL a compelling candidate for investors seeking both value and income.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support levels
- bearish MACD momentum
- stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation discount to industry peers
- forward earnings acceleration
- sustainable dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- strong cash position and manageable debt
- diversified product portfolio across high‑tech sectors
- ongoing demand for scientific and metrology instruments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.80%
Profit Margin8.54%
P/E Ratio17.6
ROE11.19%
ROA8.27%
Debt/Equity8.06
P/B Ratio2.1
Industry P/E34.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.2
Support¥5,776.00
Resistance¥6,993.00
MA 20¥6,399.20
MA 50¥6,056.62
MA 200¥5,032.55
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.13
Valuation
Target Price¥6,840.00
Upside/Downside12.98%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.64
Volatility40.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.