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694:HKEXBeijing Capital International Airport Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

MYR 2.74

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Celcomdigi Berhad is trading at its 52‑week low of 2.74 MYR, hugging a key support level and showing an RSI of 25, which points to oversold conditions. The MACD is in a bearish configuration and the stock’s beta of 0.36 signals low relative volatility, though the 30‑day price volatility hovers near 29%. On the fundamentals side, the company appears overvalued, with a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 1.25 MYR versus the current price, and a PE of 21 versus an industry average of 17. The dividend yield is attractive at 4.9%, but a payout ratio exceeding 110% raises questions about sustainability. Additionally, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, reflected in a debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 90, while revenue growth is essentially flat.
Given these mixed signals, the short‑term outlook is tempered by technical oversoldness and a potential bounce off support, whereas medium‑ and long‑term prospects are clouded by valuation gaps, high leverage, and dividend sustainability concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI indicating potential price rebound
  • Price at strong support level
  • Low beta suggesting limited downside volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio stressing balance sheet
  • Dividend payout exceeding earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap with fair value
  • Sustained high leverage and weak revenue growth
  • Unsustainable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.20%
Profit Margin11.88%
P/E Ratio21.1
ROE9.74%
ROA6.77%
Debt/Equity91.49
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowMYR4.0B
Free Cash FlowMYR2.2B
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI25.3
SupportMYR 2.74
ResistanceMYR 3.22
MA 20MYR 3.02
MA 50MYR 3.01
MA 200MYR 3.33
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.36

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 1.25
Target PriceMYR 3.59
Upside/Downside30.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility28.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.