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6923:TSEStanley Electric Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

NT$77.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CHUNGTAI RESOURCE Technology is trading below its short‑term moving average but still above the longer‑term averages, indicating lingering bearish pressure despite a recent bullish MACD histogram. The RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum, while volume has been on a downward trend, reinforcing the weakening demand. Volatility remains elevated, yet the beta is exceptionally low, implying the stock moves largely independent of broader market swings. The price is perched near a key support level and well below the identified resistance, leaving little room for a rebound without a catalyst. A dividend yield that appears attractive is offset by a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about sustainability. The company’s PE ratio exceeds the industry average, and the discounted cash flow model points to a fair value far below the current market price, flagging significant overvaluation. A maximum historical drawdown of over 40% underscores the potential for sharp declines. While the waste‑management sector offers defensive characteristics, regulatory scrutiny and the need for continual compliance add layers of risk. Geographic exposure is concentrated in Taiwan and Japan, exposing the firm to regional economic and policy shifts. Overall, the technical picture is bearish, fundamentals are mixed, and the valuation gap is wide, suggesting caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical indicators near support
  • significant overvaluation relative to DCF
  • unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • defensive sector exposure
  • high dividend yield despite payout concerns
  • persistent volatility and low beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential for valuation correction
  • ongoing regulatory and environmental compliance costs
  • steady cash flow generation supporting operations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin24.05%
P/E Ratio25.4
ROE10.18%
ROA4.92%
Debt/Equity42.79
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$454.2M
Free Cash FlowNT$97.9M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.5
SupportNT$75.60
ResistanceNT$82.20
MA 20NT$78.30
MA 50NT$79.99
MA 200NT$94.20
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.32

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$6.50
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility26.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.