688472:SSECSI Solar Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time
CN¥12.04
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CSI Solar is trading just below its discounted cash‑flow fair value and displays a PE ratio well under the industry average, suggesting a modest undervaluation. The stock shows an oversold RSI and sits near a key support level, yet the MACD remains bearish and volume is on a downtrend, indicating short‑term pressure. Fundamentally, operating cash flow is positive, dividend payout is low and sustainable, and the balance sheet, while leveraged, is cushioned by substantial cash reserves. However, revenue is contracting and free cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing capital investment needs.
The solar sector carries high policy and regulatory exposure in China, and the broader market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase, which could amplify price swings. With a beta well below one, the stock is less volatile than the market but still exhibits high 30‑day price volatility. Investors should weigh the valuation upside against the sector‑specific risks and the company’s debt profile when forming a view.
The solar sector carries high policy and regulatory exposure in China, and the broader market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase, which could amplify price swings. With a beta well below one, the stock is less volatile than the market but still exhibits high 30‑day price volatility. Investors should weigh the valuation upside against the sector‑specific risks and the company’s debt profile when forming a view.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with oversold momentum
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
- Potential downside if support fails
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap to DCF fair value and industry PE
- Sustainable dividend and positive operating cash flow
- Policy‑driven demand recovery in the solar market
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term renewable‑energy tailwinds
- Elevated debt level requiring monitoring
- Stable dividend and alignment with parent company’s global footprint
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-17.00%
Profit Margin3.84%
P/E Ratio29.4
ROE6.63%
ROA2.56%
Debt/Equity76.98
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥5.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2930106112
Industry P/E43.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI32.5
SupportCN¥11.89
ResistanceCN¥15.85
MA 20CN¥14.17
MA 50CN¥13.79
MA 200CN¥14.29
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.39
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥12.28
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility52.13%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.