688385:SSEShanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-07 - not real-time
CN¥54.61
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥54.61, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 6.3%. RSI sits at 49.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥50.92 and resistance at ¥59.56.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 51.0 times earnings against the sector's 33.2. The average analyst target implies 39.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 20.3% profit margin. The 0.11% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 53.8%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 52.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 51.0 times earnings against the sector's 33.2. The average analyst target implies 39.2% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 20.3% profit margin. The 0.11% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 53.8%, a beta of 0.74 and a maximum drawdown of 52.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 66.78
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 51.0 versus sector average of 33.2
- Trading below the 200-day average of 66.78
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 51.0 versus sector average of 33.2
- Analyst targets imply +39.2% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 20.3% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth25.50%
Profit Margin20.32%
P/E Ratio51.0
ROE12.12%
ROA2.46%
Debt/Equity17.08
P/B Ratio6.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥663.1M
Industry P/E33.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.7
SupportCN¥50.92
ResistanceCN¥59.56
MA 20CN¥54.53
MA 50CN¥56.69
MA 200CN¥66.78
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥29.07
Target PriceCN¥76.00
Upside/Downside39.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.11%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.74
Volatility53.83%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.