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688235:SSEBeOne Medicines Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥231.30

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BeOne Medicines AG is reporting a striking revenue surge, with Q4 2025 sales of $1.5 billion and a projected full‑year 2026 revenue of $5.3 billion – a 33%‑40% jump year‑over‑year, underscoring its rapid growth in the oncology market. Operating margins have expanded to 12.35% and gross margins sit at an impressive 87.5%, indicating strong pricing power and efficient cost control. However, the stock trades at a trailing PE of 175x versus an industry average of 26x, and a discounted cash‑flow fair value of just $21, suggesting the market has priced in far higher expectations than fundamentals support. The technical picture is mixed: the price of CNY 231.3 sits below the 20‑day, 50‑day, and 200‑day SMAs, the MACD is bearish, and RSI is at 33, hinting at short‑term oversold conditions, while volume is increasing and beta remains low at 0.23, limiting broader market volatility exposure. With a high 30‑day volatility of nearly 40% and a max drawdown close to 30%, downside risk remains material, especially if upcoming earnings miss consensus. The company carries no dividend and a modest debt‑to‑equity profile, while its book‑to‑price ratio (<1) suggests the balance sheet is relatively sound.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and price below key SMAs
  • upcoming Q4 2025 earnings announcement
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • robust revenue growth and expanding margins
  • deep pipeline of oncology candidates
  • undervalued book value relative to market price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • sustained R&D pipeline and global market exposure
  • low beta reducing market‑wide risk
  • valuation gap between DCF fair value and current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth32.80%
Profit Margin5.37%
P/E Ratio175.2
ROE7.46%
ROA3.96%
Debt/Equity25.06
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥727.1M
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.1
SupportCN¥221.56
ResistanceCN¥291.67
MA 20CN¥254.79
MA 50CN¥275.50
MA 200CN¥268.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥21.16
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility39.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.