688235:SSEBeOne Medicines Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
CN¥231.30
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BeOne Medicines AG is reporting a striking revenue surge, with Q4 2025 sales of $1.5 billion and a projected full‑year 2026 revenue of $5.3 billion – a 33%‑40% jump year‑over‑year, underscoring its rapid growth in the oncology market. Operating margins have expanded to 12.35% and gross margins sit at an impressive 87.5%, indicating strong pricing power and efficient cost control. However, the stock trades at a trailing PE of 175x versus an industry average of 26x, and a discounted cash‑flow fair value of just $21, suggesting the market has priced in far higher expectations than fundamentals support. The technical picture is mixed: the price of CNY 231.3 sits below the 20‑day, 50‑day, and 200‑day SMAs, the MACD is bearish, and RSI is at 33, hinting at short‑term oversold conditions, while volume is increasing and beta remains low at 0.23, limiting broader market volatility exposure. With a high 30‑day volatility of nearly 40% and a max drawdown close to 30%, downside risk remains material, especially if upcoming earnings miss consensus. The company carries no dividend and a modest debt‑to‑equity profile, while its book‑to‑price ratio (<1) suggests the balance sheet is relatively sound.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD and price below key SMAs
- upcoming Q4 2025 earnings announcement
- high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- robust revenue growth and expanding margins
- deep pipeline of oncology candidates
- undervalued book value relative to market price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- sustained R&D pipeline and global market exposure
- low beta reducing market‑wide risk
- valuation gap between DCF fair value and current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth32.80%
Profit Margin5.37%
P/E Ratio175.2
ROE7.46%
ROA3.96%
Debt/Equity25.06
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥727.1M
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.1
SupportCN¥221.56
ResistanceCN¥291.67
MA 20CN¥254.79
MA 50CN¥275.50
MA 200CN¥268.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥21.16
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility39.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.