688126:SSENational Silicon Industry Group Co. Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
CN¥22.12
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥22.12, National Silicon Industry Group Co., Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. It has lost 5.8% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 35.7 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at ¥21.48 up to resistance at ¥29.09.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 433.5 versus a 32.8 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 25.3% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 37.7% on a -48.6% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 50.1%, a beta of 0.37 and a maximum drawdown of 46.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: sell, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 433.5 versus a 32.8 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 25.3% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 37.7% on a -48.6% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 50.1%, a beta of 0.37 and a maximum drawdown of 46.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: sell, at a conviction of 7 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 23.99
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -5.8%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 433.5 versus sector average of 32.8
- Trading below the 200-day average of 23.99
- Analyst targets imply -25.3% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 433.5 versus sector average of 32.8
- Negative profit margin of -48.6%
- Analyst targets imply -25.3% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth37.70%
Profit Margin-48.58%
P/E Ratio433.5
ROE-10.81%
ROA-3.54%
Debt/Equity42.51
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥81.6M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-5067158528
Industry P/E32.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.7
SupportCN¥21.48
ResistanceCN¥29.09
MA 20CN¥24.23
MA 50CN¥26.53
MA 200CN¥23.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥0.03
Target PriceCN¥16.53
Upside/Downside-25.26%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility50.07%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.