6869:TSESysmex Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
NT$108.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
J&V Energy trades at TWD 108.5, sitting just above the 20‑day SMA of 107.5 but below the 200‑day SMA of 125.1, indicating a price that is still chasing its longer‑term trend. The RSI of 52.2 suggests a neutral momentum environment, while the MACD histogram is -0.28 and the signal line is bearish, hinting at modest downside pressure. Current price is near the identified support of 100 and well below the resistance of 117, with a high 30‑day volatility of 58.6% and a beta of 0.62, implying a stock that moves sharply but is less correlated with the broader market. The upside/downside metric shows a potential upside of 61% if the stock can rebound from recent lows, yet the max drawdown of -50.4% underscores the risk of further declines.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears undervalued with a trailing PE of 11.9 versus an industry average of 22.9 and a forward PE of 8.36. A dividend yield of 4.53% and a payout ratio around 55% are attractive, but the company’s operating cash flow (-579 M TWD) and free cash flow (-561 M TWD) are negative, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 110%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. While the renewable‑utilities sector offers long‑term secular growth, the combination of high leverage, cash‑flow deficits, and geopolitical exposure in Taiwan adds layers of risk that investors must weigh carefully.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears undervalued with a trailing PE of 11.9 versus an industry average of 22.9 and a forward PE of 8.36. A dividend yield of 4.53% and a payout ratio around 55% are attractive, but the company’s operating cash flow (-579 M TWD) and free cash flow (-561 M TWD) are negative, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 110%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. While the renewable‑utilities sector offers long‑term secular growth, the combination of high leverage, cash‑flow deficits, and geopolitical exposure in Taiwan adds layers of risk that investors must weigh carefully.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside
- Proximity to support level at 100 with high volatility
- Attractive dividend yield but cash‑flow weakness
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry peers
- Strong forward earnings growth expectations
- Renewable‑energy sector tailwinds outweighing short‑term cash‑flow issues
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Secular growth in renewable utilities in Taiwan
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative cash flow limiting upside
- Dividend sustainability concerns amid leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth208.10%
Profit Margin18.16%
P/E Ratio11.9
ROE19.69%
ROA-0.04%
Debt/Equity110.15
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowNT$-579006016
Free Cash FlowNT$-560885376
Industry P/E22.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.2
SupportNT$100.00
ResistanceNT$117.00
MA 20NT$107.50
MA 50NT$103.31
MA 200NT$125.12
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Target PriceNT$175.00
Upside/Downside61.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.53%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility58.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.