6865:HKEXFlat Glass Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time
HK$7.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Flat Glass Group is trading at HK$7, just above its recent support of HK$6.92 and well below the 20‑day SMA of HK$7.77, indicating short‑term price pressure but also a potential bounce as the RSI sits near 31 (oversold territory). Valuation metrics are compelling: a trailing P/E of 13.7 versus an industry average of 38, and a forward P/E of 5.9, suggesting the stock is priced far below peers despite modest profitability (ROE ~4%). However, the balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~65% and net cash deficit, while volatility remains high at 45% over the past 30 days. Analyst consensus is bullish (12 analysts, “buy”) and the consensus target price implies ~65% upside, but technical indicators (bearish MACD, decreasing volume) warn of continued downside risk in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support and oversold RSI
- Strong valuation relative to industry peers
- Analyst consensus and sizable upside potential
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low forward P/E indicating growth upside
- Rising demand for photovoltaic glass in solar sector
- Potential improvement in cash conversion as operating cash flow remains robust
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High leverage could constrain reinvestment
- Long‑term secular tailwinds for solar and flat‑glass markets
- Margin compression and modest ROE limit upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.90%
Profit Margin6.10%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE4.16%
ROA2.46%
Debt/Equity64.81
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.0B
Free Cash FlowHK$128.9M
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.9
SupportHK$6.92
ResistanceHK$8.55
MA 20HK$7.77
MA 50HK$8.64
MA 200HK$10.28
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Target PriceHK$11.57
Upside/Downside65.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.77
Volatility45.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.