6845:TSEAzbil Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
¥1,642.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Azbil Corporation’s stock is trading at ¥1,642.5, comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and a strong positive histogram, signaling continued upward momentum. However, the RSI sits at a lofty 73, indicating the shares are overbought and the price is hugging the 52‑week high of ¥1,645, just below a key resistance level.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward P/E of about 20, well under the industry average of 30, and offers a 2.3% dividend yield with a modest 31% payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability. It boasts a robust cash pile exceeding ¥100 billion against modest debt, but a discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near ¥1,075, implying the current price may be stretched relative to intrinsic estimates. The low beta of 0.42 and stable volume further point to a relatively defensive risk profile.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward P/E of about 20, well under the industry average of 30, and offers a 2.3% dividend yield with a modest 31% payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability. It boasts a robust cash pile exceeding ¥100 billion against modest debt, but a discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near ¥1,075, implying the current price may be stretched relative to intrinsic estimates. The low beta of 0.42 and stable volume further point to a relatively defensive risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near 52‑week high and resistance
- RSI in overbought territory
- Limited upside in technical setup
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Solid cash generation and low debt
- Attractive dividend yield
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong balance sheet with ample liquidity
- Consistent earnings growth and automation tailwinds
- Sustainable dividend and low market beta
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.20%
Profit Margin12.90%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE15.73%
ROA9.14%
Debt/Equity3.86
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow¥38.0B
Free Cash Flow¥22.5B
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI73.4
Support¥1,371.50
Resistance¥1,645.00
MA 20¥1,501.40
MA 50¥1,457.88
MA 200¥1,434.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.32
Valuation
Fair Value¥1,075.18
Target Price¥1,670.00
Upside/Downside1.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility35.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.