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6770:TWSEPowerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

NT$67.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. is trading around TWD 67.2, comfortably above the computed support level of TWD 56.6 but still far from its 52‑week high of TWD 94.5. The stock sits above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend, yet the MACD shows a bearish divergence with a negative histogram and the volume trend is decreasing, suggesting short‑term pressure. Fundamentally, the company posts a forward PE of ~15, well below the industry average of ~37, and the DCF fair value of TWD 108 implies modest upside (~5%). However, operating margins are negative, free cash flow is sharply negative, and debt‑to‑equity is extremely high at over 37, raising concerns about financial stability. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone per the fear‑greed index, but the high 30‑day volatility (~85%) and a max drawdown of over 33% underscore considerable price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with limited upside
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE well below industry average
  • DCF fair value suggests modest upside
  • Sector demand for semiconductors remains strong

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load and negative free cash flow
  • Strong cash reserves provide a cushion
  • Geopolitical exposure in Taiwan/China adds uncertainty

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.10%
Profit Margin15.28%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE8.15%
ROA-1.87%
Debt/Equity37.72
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$20.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$-19993092096
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.8
SupportNT$56.60
ResistanceNT$94.50
MA 20NT$71.59
MA 50NT$62.31
MA 200NT$45.84
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$108.06
Target PriceNT$70.40
Upside/Downside4.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility85.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.