6770:TWSEPowerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
NT$67.20
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. is trading around TWD 67.2, comfortably above the computed support level of TWD 56.6 but still far from its 52‑week high of TWD 94.5. The stock sits above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, indicating a bullish trend, yet the MACD shows a bearish divergence with a negative histogram and the volume trend is decreasing, suggesting short‑term pressure. Fundamentally, the company posts a forward PE of ~15, well below the industry average of ~37, and the DCF fair value of TWD 108 implies modest upside (~5%). However, operating margins are negative, free cash flow is sharply negative, and debt‑to‑equity is extremely high at over 37, raising concerns about financial stability. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone per the fear‑greed index, but the high 30‑day volatility (~85%) and a max drawdown of over 33% underscore considerable price swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support with limited upside
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE well below industry average
- DCF fair value suggests modest upside
- Sector demand for semiconductors remains strong
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High debt load and negative free cash flow
- Strong cash reserves provide a cushion
- Geopolitical exposure in Taiwan/China adds uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.10%
Profit Margin15.28%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE8.15%
ROA-1.87%
Debt/Equity37.72
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$20.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$-19993092096
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.8
SupportNT$56.60
ResistanceNT$94.50
MA 20NT$71.59
MA 50NT$62.31
MA 200NT$45.84
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$108.06
Target PriceNT$70.40
Upside/Downside4.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility85.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.