6770:TSEAlps Alpine Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
NT$67.40
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing (6770.TW) is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the short‑term moving average comfortably above the mid‑term and long‑term averages, and price holding above a solid support zone. The momentum indicator sits near the midpoint, while the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting a short‑term pullback risk amid decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility.
Fundamentally, the company posted strong top‑line growth and a positive forward earnings outlook, yet its DCF‑derived fair value sits well below the current market price and the balance sheet carries a high debt load relative to equity. The forward PE is modest compared with a lofty industry average, and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” indicating potential over‑optimism. These mixed signals point to a cautious stance, with upside limited unless the price consolidates nearer to intrinsic estimates.
Fundamentally, the company posted strong top‑line growth and a positive forward earnings outlook, yet its DCF‑derived fair value sits well below the current market price and the balance sheet carries a high debt load relative to equity. The forward PE is modest compared with a lofty industry average, and the market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” indicating potential over‑optimism. These mixed signals point to a cautious stance, with upside limited unless the price consolidates nearer to intrinsic estimates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish moving‑average hierarchy supports price stability
- Bearish MACD divergence signals near‑term downside
- Decreasing volume and high volatility increase short‑term uncertainty
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth and positive forward EPS outlook
- Forward PE materially lower than industry average
- Strong cash position offsets high debt, enabling operational flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in the global semiconductor foundry market
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio poses leverage risk over time
- Geopolitical exposure in Taiwan and cross‑border regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.10%
Profit Margin15.28%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE8.15%
ROA3.21%
Debt/Equity36.17
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash FlowNT$20.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$2.7B
Industry P/E36.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.0
SupportNT$56.60
ResistanceNT$94.50
MA 20NT$71.60
MA 50NT$62.31
MA 200NT$45.84
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$22.76
Target PriceNT$70.40
Upside/Downside4.45%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility85.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.