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6699:HKEXAngelalign Technology Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥467.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading at 467 JPY, just above the 20‑day SMA of 466.8 but well below the 50‑day (519.6) and 200‑day (574.8) averages, indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. RSI sits at 41, suggesting modest downside momentum, while the MACD histogram turned positive (3.76) and the MACD signal is labeled bullish, hinting at a possible near‑term reversal. Support is identified around 451 JPY and resistance near 490 JPY, framing a narrow trading range.
Fundamental backdrop: Valuation appears attractive with a PE of 4.96, PB of 0.30 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.05, complemented by a generous 5.35% dividend yield and a modest 26% payout ratio. However, the company carries an extreme debt‑to‑equity ratio of 267, negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, and a volatile 30‑day price swing of 45%. The beta of 0.11 signals low market sensitivity, yet the fear‑greed index shows “Extreme Greed” (89.86), reflecting heightened market optimism despite the underlying financial strain.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering just above the 20‑day SMA and near the identified support level
  • bearish longer‑term trend with SMA50 and SMA200 well above current price
  • high dividend yield provides short‑term income buffer

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation discounts (low PE, PB, and price‑to‑sales)
  • potential upside if the company can stabilize cash flows and reduce leverage
  • stable dividend payout supports total return expectations

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • persistent high leverage and negative cash flow limit long‑term upside
  • auto‑parts sector is cyclical, exposing earnings to economic swings
  • valuation attractiveness balanced by structural financial weaknesses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.30%
Profit Margin0.85%
P/E Ratio5.0
ROE6.40%
ROA2.10%
Debt/Equity266.52
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow¥-1432000000
Free Cash Flow¥-2302625024

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.2
Support¥451.00
Resistance¥490.00
MA 20¥466.80
MA 50¥519.60
MA 200¥574.80
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility45.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.