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6669:TWSEWiwynn Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

NT$5,090.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wiwynn Corp. is trading at TWD 5,090, comfortably above its 20‑day (4,883), 50‑day (4,200) and 200‑day (3,823) moving averages, indicating a strong bullish bias. The RSI sits at 58, confirming moderate upward momentum, while the MACD line remains just above its signal, producing a small but positive histogram. Volume has been tapering, suggesting a potential pause in the rally, yet the stock’s 30‑day volatility of 58% and beta of 1.19 point to a higher‑risk, high‑reward profile. Valuation is mixed: the trailing P/E of 19 is well below the industry average of 38, and the forward P/E of 11 signals attractive earnings growth, but the price‑to‑book of 6.75 and a DCF‑derived fair value of only TWD 1,042 imply the market may be overpricing the shares. Revenue is expanding rapidly at 62% YoY, and ROE is a striking 46%, but margins remain thin (gross 8%) and free cash flow is negative, underscoring cash‑generation concerns. Debt is high, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 76%, though the company holds TWD 71 bn in cash to partially offset leverage. The dividend yield of 1.45% is modest, with a payout ratio of 28%, raising questions about long‑term sustainability given the cash‑flow gap. Analyst consensus is strongly positive (17 analysts, “strong_buy”), and price targets around TWD 6,500 suggest upside potential of roughly 30% from current levels. However, the confluence of high volatility, elevated leverage, and a valuation gap tempers enthusiasm. In summary, the stock is in a bullish technical zone with solid growth fundamentals, but investors should weigh the overvaluation signals and balance‑sheet risks before committing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major moving averages
  • Bullish MACD and RSI in moderate range
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE
  • Forward P/E of 11 indicating earnings upside
  • Analyst consensus of strong buy with upside target near TWD 6,500

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity and negative free cash flow
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • Sustained industry demand for data‑center hardware

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth62.00%
Profit Margin5.25%
P/E Ratio19.2
ROE46.38%
ROA12.42%
Debt/Equity76.34
P/B Ratio6.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$9.1B
Free Cash FlowNT$-22136248320
Industry P/E37.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.3
SupportNT$3,870.00
ResistanceNT$5,870.00
MA 20NT$4,883.00
MA 50NT$4,199.70
MA 200NT$3,822.85
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$1,041.96
Target PriceNT$6,681.00
Upside/Downside31.26%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility58.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.