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6586:TSEMakita Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

¥5,716.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Makita Corp (6586.T) is trading at ¥5,716, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ¥5,636 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥5,481, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is negative (‑10.85) and the MACD signal line sits above the MACD line, signaling a bearish crossover that tempers the upside. The RSI at 54.6 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the 30‑day volatility of 34.6% reflects a relatively wide price swing. Volume has been decreasing, and the price is still above the identified support at ¥5,269, leaving some downside cushion.
Fundamentally, Makita delivers a solid dividend yield of 3.7% with a payout ratio around 50%, backed by ample cash (¥257 bn) and a debt‑to‑equity of 1.75, supporting dividend sustainability. The forward P/E of 23.2 is modest relative to the industry average P/E of 29.5, but the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,559 is far below the current market price, implying the stock is overvalued on intrinsic‑value grounds. With a low beta of ~0.3 and a market‑cap exceeding ¥1.4 tn, liquidity risk is minimal, though global exposure introduces medium geographic and currency risk. Overall, the blend of attractive yield and strong cash generation is offset by valuation concerns and mixed technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Negative MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Price remains above key support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and low debt
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Forward P/E below industry average

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far below market price
  • Modest growth prospects and stable margins
  • Medium geographic and currency exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin10.21%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE8.20%
ROA5.72%
Debt/Equity1.75
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow¥102.3B
Free Cash Flow¥32.2B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support¥5,269.00
Resistance¥6,012.00
MA 20¥5,635.95
MA 50¥5,480.70
MA 200¥5,096.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,558.81
Target Price¥6,442.31
Upside/Downside12.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility34.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.