6586:TSEMakita Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
¥5,716.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Makita Corp (6586.T) is trading at ¥5,716, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of ¥5,636 and the 50‑day SMA of ¥5,481, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram is negative (‑10.85) and the MACD signal line sits above the MACD line, signaling a bearish crossover that tempers the upside. The RSI at 54.6 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the 30‑day volatility of 34.6% reflects a relatively wide price swing. Volume has been decreasing, and the price is still above the identified support at ¥5,269, leaving some downside cushion.
Fundamentally, Makita delivers a solid dividend yield of 3.7% with a payout ratio around 50%, backed by ample cash (¥257 bn) and a debt‑to‑equity of 1.75, supporting dividend sustainability. The forward P/E of 23.2 is modest relative to the industry average P/E of 29.5, but the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,559 is far below the current market price, implying the stock is overvalued on intrinsic‑value grounds. With a low beta of ~0.3 and a market‑cap exceeding ¥1.4 tn, liquidity risk is minimal, though global exposure introduces medium geographic and currency risk. Overall, the blend of attractive yield and strong cash generation is offset by valuation concerns and mixed technical signals.
Fundamentally, Makita delivers a solid dividend yield of 3.7% with a payout ratio around 50%, backed by ample cash (¥257 bn) and a debt‑to‑equity of 1.75, supporting dividend sustainability. The forward P/E of 23.2 is modest relative to the industry average P/E of 29.5, but the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,559 is far below the current market price, implying the stock is overvalued on intrinsic‑value grounds. With a low beta of ~0.3 and a market‑cap exceeding ¥1.4 tn, liquidity risk is minimal, though global exposure introduces medium geographic and currency risk. Overall, the blend of attractive yield and strong cash generation is offset by valuation concerns and mixed technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Negative MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume trend
- Price remains above key support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position and low debt
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Forward P/E below industry average
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far below market price
- Modest growth prospects and stable margins
- Medium geographic and currency exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin10.21%
P/E Ratio19.0
ROE8.20%
ROA5.72%
Debt/Equity1.75
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow¥102.3B
Free Cash Flow¥32.2B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support¥5,269.00
Resistance¥6,012.00
MA 20¥5,635.95
MA 50¥5,480.70
MA 200¥5,096.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,558.81
Target Price¥6,442.31
Upside/Downside12.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility34.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.