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6586:TSEMakita Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

¥5,863.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Makita’s share price of ¥5,863 sits comfortably above its 20‑day (¥5,555), 50‑day (¥5,568) and 200‑day (¥5,153) moving averages, reinforcing a bullish technical backdrop. The RSI of 61.7 and a bullish MACD histogram (+¥39.9) further suggest upward momentum, though the price is flirting with the near‑term resistance at ¥5,898. On the fundamentals side, the stock trades at a forward PE of 19.5, well below the industry average of 31.2, indicating relative value, while delivering a generous 3.63% dividend yield with a 50% payout ratio supported by ample cash (¥257 B) versus modest debt (¥17.5 B). However, the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,582 is dramatically lower than the market price, flagging potential overvaluation, and the Fear & Greed Index at 92 (“Extreme Greed”) hints at heightened market optimism.
Overall, Makita offers solid cash flow, a strong dividend, and sector‑leading margins, but investors should weigh the elevated price relative to intrinsic estimates, modest ROE (8.2%), and the high debt‑to‑equity ratio (1.75) against its defensive dividend profile and attractive valuation multiples versus peers.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching near‑term resistance at ¥5,898
  • Elevated market optimism (Fear & Greed Index 92)
  • Increasing volume supporting current trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • PE advantage versus industry peers
  • Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Analyst consensus (Buy) and median target price of ¥7,000

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash generation and global diversification
  • Potential overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Stable dividend and resilient operating margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin10.21%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE8.20%
ROA5.72%
Debt/Equity1.75
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow¥102.3B
Free Cash Flow¥32.2B
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.7
Support¥5,168.00
Resistance¥5,898.00
MA 20¥5,555.40
MA 50¥5,568.12
MA 200¥5,153.02
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,581.86
Target Price¥6,626.92
Upside/Downside13.03%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.31
Volatility29.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.