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6503:TSEMitsubishi Electric Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

¥6,069.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mitsubishi Electric trades at ¥6,069, sitting below its 20‑day SMA (¥6,180) but comfortably above the 50‑day (¥5,755) and 200‑day (¥4,695) averages, indicating a mixed short‑term signal within an overall bullish trend. The RSI sits near 50, suggesting no clear momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, pointing to short‑term downside pressure. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at over 42%, yet the stock’s beta of ~0.7 signals lower systematic risk. Fundamental metrics reveal a PE of ~30.6 versus an industry average of 29.5, and a DCF fair value of ¥2,439, implying the market price is significantly overvalued with a negative upside of roughly 0.5%. The dividend yield of 1.04% is modest but the payout ratio of 27.7% and strong operating cash flow suggest the dividend is sustainable.
Actionable insight: Investors should adopt a cautious short‑term stance given the bearish technical signals and overvaluation, while recognizing the company’s solid cash position, diversified industrial exposure, and sustainable dividend support a neutral‑to‑bullish medium outlook and a potentially attractive long‑term entry point if price corrections occur.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
  • Negative upside relative to DCF valuation
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Overall bullish trend and strong cash generation
  • Sustainable dividend payout
  • Diversified product portfolio across infrastructure, automation, and EV markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential price correction toward fair value
  • Long‑term growth drivers in industrial automation and renewable energy solutions
  • Robust balance sheet with ample cash despite high leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin6.92%
P/E Ratio30.6
ROE9.96%
ROA3.94%
Debt/Equity7.85
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow¥576.0B
Free Cash Flow¥355.3B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.5
Support¥5,623.00
Resistance¥6,667.00
MA 20¥6,179.65
MA 50¥5,755.38
MA 200¥4,695.48
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,439.09
Target Price¥6,035.71
Upside/Downside-0.55%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.70
Volatility42.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.