6471:TSENSK Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
¥1,169.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NSK Ltd. is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow implied fair value, offering a compelling price discount while maintaining a solid cash position and a dividend yield near 3%. Technical signals are mixed: the stock sits under the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, RSI is in the low‑mid range and MACD shows bearish momentum, yet the broader trend remains bullish and price is anchored above a clear support level.
The company’s revenue is expanding at a healthy pace, but margins are modest and the payout ratio is high, raising questions about dividend sustainability. With a low beta and a “Greed” market sentiment, the upside potential appears attractive for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term volatility and decreasing volume suggest caution.
The company’s revenue is expanding at a healthy pace, but margins are modest and the payout ratio is high, raising questions about dividend sustainability. With a low beta and a “Greed” market sentiment, the upside potential appears attractive for medium‑ to long‑term investors, while short‑term volatility and decreasing volume suggest caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant discount to DCF fair value
- Strong cash balance and zero net debt
- Revenue growth outpacing peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to book and sales multiples
- Resilient demand for bearings across multiple industrial segments
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics in a cyclical sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.60%
Profit Margin2.36%
P/E Ratio31.9
ROE3.09%
ROA1.69%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow¥158.8B
Free Cash Flow¥29.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.5
Support¥1,127.50
Resistance¥1,414.50
MA 20¥1,287.50
MA 50¥1,175.39
MA 200¥875.56
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,608.83
Target Price¥1,273.33
Upside/Downside8.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility53.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.