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6460:TSESega Sammy Holdings Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥2,705.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well above its 20‑day moving average yet below the 50‑day line, indicating a price that has recently rallied but remains within a broader neutral zone. Momentum gauges such as the RSI sit comfortably above the midpoint, suggesting lingering buying pressure. The MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line sits above its signal, reinforcing a modest bullish tilt. Volume has been trending lower, which tempers the enthusiasm from the technical read‑outs. On the fundamentals side, revenue growth is robust, driven by a strong pachislot business and expanding entertainment content. However, profitability metrics remain weak, with operating margins under pressure and a negative net margin.
The current price implies a forward price‑to‑earnings multiple that is markedly lower than the trailing multiple, pointing to a valuation discount relative to peers. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, and the median price target sits well above today’s level, indicating upside potential. The dividend yield hovers around two percent with a payout ratio near two‑thirds, which appears sustainable given the sizable cash balance. The company’s beta is low, suggesting limited sensitivity to market swings, though recent volatility has been elevated. Regulatory exposure in the gambling‑related segments adds a layer of uncertainty, but the diversified portfolio—including integrated resorts and digital gaming—provides a hedge. Overall, the blend of modest technical strength, undervalued forward metrics, and a decent dividend makes the stock attractive for investors with a medium to long horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD and RSI indicate short‑term momentum
  • Decreasing volume suggests caution
  • Price near immediate resistance level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth driven by pachislot and entertainment segments
  • Forward PE discount relative to peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified business model spanning gaming, resorts, and digital content
  • Robust cash position offsetting debt concerns
  • Secular demand for entertainment and integrated resort experiences

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.20%
Profit Margin-3.08%
P/E Ratio33.1
ROE-3.66%
ROA2.36%
Debt/Equity40.39
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E17.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI60.4
Support¥2,273.00
Resistance¥2,775.00
MA 20¥2,591.68
MA 50¥2,492.23
MA 200¥2,856.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥3,259.09
Upside/Downside20.48%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.33
Volatility41.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.