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6370:TSEKurita Water Industries Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time

¥9,000.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum is firmly bullish, with a positive MACD histogram and RSI comfortably in the upper mid‑range, while trading volume is on an upward trend. The price is holding above the 20‑day moving average and well above the 50‑day average, indicating sustained strength, though it is approaching a key resistance zone that has capped the stock this year. Support remains solid near a historically significant level, providing a cushion against short‑term pullbacks. The stock’s beta is notably low, suggesting limited correlation with broader market swings, and the 30‑day volatility, while elevated, is manageable within the sector’s profile.
Fundamentally, the company generates healthy cash flow, maintains a moderate payout ratio and an attractive dividend yield, and operates in a diversified global market that buffers regional shocks. Valuation metrics point to a price that exceeds intrinsic estimates, positioning the stock on the higher side of fair value, yet it still trades below the sector’s average price‑to‑earnings multiple. With a solid balance sheet, modest debt levels, and consistent earnings, the long‑term outlook is stable, though price appreciation may be muted until the market reconciles the valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and rising volume support current price levels
  • Proximity to a strong resistance area may limit upside
  • Low beta reduces exposure to market volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash generation and sustainable dividend yield
  • Valuation gap offers potential for price correction upward
  • Global diversification mitigates regional economic headwinds

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent earnings and moderate debt profile
  • Regulatory environment and sector fundamentals remain steady
  • Low currency and liquidity risks support a defensive stance

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin5.70%
P/E Ratio24.9
ROE6.79%
ROA6.18%
Debt/Equity31.80
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow¥58.8B
Free Cash Flow¥31.0B
Industry P/E29.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI64.8
Support¥7,708.00
Resistance¥9,508.00
MA 20¥8,325.70
MA 50¥8,046.54
MA 200¥6,634.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,309.66
Target Price¥9,288.33
Upside/Downside3.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility38.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.