6370:TSEKurita Water Industries Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-16 - not real-time
¥9,000.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical momentum is firmly bullish, with a positive MACD histogram and RSI comfortably in the upper mid‑range, while trading volume is on an upward trend. The price is holding above the 20‑day moving average and well above the 50‑day average, indicating sustained strength, though it is approaching a key resistance zone that has capped the stock this year. Support remains solid near a historically significant level, providing a cushion against short‑term pullbacks. The stock’s beta is notably low, suggesting limited correlation with broader market swings, and the 30‑day volatility, while elevated, is manageable within the sector’s profile.
Fundamentally, the company generates healthy cash flow, maintains a moderate payout ratio and an attractive dividend yield, and operates in a diversified global market that buffers regional shocks. Valuation metrics point to a price that exceeds intrinsic estimates, positioning the stock on the higher side of fair value, yet it still trades below the sector’s average price‑to‑earnings multiple. With a solid balance sheet, modest debt levels, and consistent earnings, the long‑term outlook is stable, though price appreciation may be muted until the market reconciles the valuation gap.
Fundamentally, the company generates healthy cash flow, maintains a moderate payout ratio and an attractive dividend yield, and operates in a diversified global market that buffers regional shocks. Valuation metrics point to a price that exceeds intrinsic estimates, positioning the stock on the higher side of fair value, yet it still trades below the sector’s average price‑to‑earnings multiple. With a solid balance sheet, modest debt levels, and consistent earnings, the long‑term outlook is stable, though price appreciation may be muted until the market reconciles the valuation gap.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and rising volume support current price levels
- Proximity to a strong resistance area may limit upside
- Low beta reduces exposure to market volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash generation and sustainable dividend yield
- Valuation gap offers potential for price correction upward
- Global diversification mitigates regional economic headwinds
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistent earnings and moderate debt profile
- Regulatory environment and sector fundamentals remain steady
- Low currency and liquidity risks support a defensive stance
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin5.70%
P/E Ratio24.9
ROE6.79%
ROA6.18%
Debt/Equity31.80
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow¥58.8B
Free Cash Flow¥31.0B
Industry P/E29.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI64.8
Support¥7,708.00
Resistance¥9,508.00
MA 20¥8,325.70
MA 50¥8,046.54
MA 200¥6,634.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.52
Valuation
Fair Value¥3,309.66
Target Price¥9,288.33
Upside/Downside3.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility38.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.