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6370:TSEKurita Water Industries Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-01 - not real-time

¥9,455.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum remains bullish as the stock trades comfortably above its short‑term moving average and the MACD histogram stays positive, while the RSI sits in the low‑to‑mid 60s indicating continued buying pressure. Stable volume supports the price action, though the market is nearing its recent 52‑week high, suggesting a potential short‑term pause.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid cash generation and a sustainable dividend with a payout ratio well below 40%. The trailing PE is materially below the industry average, hinting at relative value, yet the DCF‑derived fair value is considerably lower than the current price, flagging a degree of overvaluation. Recent earnings released show operating profit growth, even as net profit slipped year‑over‑year, underscoring mixed earnings dynamics. The blend of modest upside, low beta, and high volatility frames a balanced risk‑reward profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMA, positive MACD)
  • Approaching 52‑week resistance level
  • Stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating cash flow and low debt‑to‑equity relative to earnings
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Fair valuation with modest upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for water‑treatment solutions across multiple regions
  • Consistent dividend yield supporting total return
  • Regulatory and environmental exposure that could temper growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin3.96%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE11.79%
ROA6.54%
Debt/Equity28.80
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow¥55.6B
Free Cash Flow¥16.1B
Industry P/E31.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.0
Support¥7,740.00
Resistance¥9,919.00
MA 20¥8,974.40
MA 50¥8,704.34
MA 200¥7,203.74
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Valuation

Fair Value¥1,626.64
Target Price¥10,096.67
Upside/Downside6.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility37.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.