6367:TSEDAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
¥24,065.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Daikin Industries is trading well above its short‑term moving averages, indicating momentum, while the MACD has turned bearish and volume is tapering, suggesting a near‑term pullback risk. The RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, pointing to limited upside momentum in the immediate horizon. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth, healthy cash generation and a modest payout ratio that supports its dividend, though margins remain modest and debt levels are elevated. Recent activist investor activity by Elliott has drawn attention to potential governance and strategic shifts, which could act as a catalyst for a re‑rating.
Overall, the stock appears overvalued relative to its discounted cash flow estimate, yet its earnings multiples are below the sector average, offering a nuanced value proposition. The combination of strong global exposure, diversified product lines and a sustainable dividend makes the company attractive for longer horizons, while the technical setup and heightened volatility advise caution in the short run.
Overall, the stock appears overvalued relative to its discounted cash flow estimate, yet its earnings multiples are below the sector average, offering a nuanced value proposition. The combination of strong global exposure, diversified product lines and a sustainable dividend makes the company attractive for longer horizons, while the technical setup and heightened volatility advise caution in the short run.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term averages but MACD bearish
- Decreasing volume indicating waning buying pressure
- Activist involvement may cause short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and strong cash flow
- Dividend sustainability with modest payout
- Potential strategic changes from activist investor
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Global market diversification across climate‑sensitive segments
- Robust product portfolio and innovation pipeline
- Long‑term dividend track record and solid balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.40%
Profit Margin5.49%
P/E Ratio25.6
ROE9.26%
ROA4.74%
Debt/Equity33.00
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow¥465.8B
Free Cash Flow¥123.6B
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.2
Support¥20,905.00
Resistance¥25,900.00
MA 20¥23,335.00
MA 50¥21,229.40
MA 200¥19,620.78
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.41
Valuation
Fair Value¥10,269.79
Target Price¥23,968.50
Upside/Downside-0.40%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.52%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.71
Volatility51.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.