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6367:TSEDAIKIN INDUSTRIES, LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

¥24,065.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Daikin Industries is trading well above its short‑term moving averages, indicating momentum, while the MACD has turned bearish and volume is tapering, suggesting a near‑term pullback risk. The RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, pointing to limited upside momentum in the immediate horizon. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth, healthy cash generation and a modest payout ratio that supports its dividend, though margins remain modest and debt levels are elevated. Recent activist investor activity by Elliott has drawn attention to potential governance and strategic shifts, which could act as a catalyst for a re‑rating.
Overall, the stock appears overvalued relative to its discounted cash flow estimate, yet its earnings multiples are below the sector average, offering a nuanced value proposition. The combination of strong global exposure, diversified product lines and a sustainable dividend makes the company attractive for longer horizons, while the technical setup and heightened volatility advise caution in the short run.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term averages but MACD bearish
  • Decreasing volume indicating waning buying pressure
  • Activist involvement may cause short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and strong cash flow
  • Dividend sustainability with modest payout
  • Potential strategic changes from activist investor

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Global market diversification across climate‑sensitive segments
  • Robust product portfolio and innovation pipeline
  • Long‑term dividend track record and solid balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.40%
Profit Margin5.49%
P/E Ratio25.6
ROE9.26%
ROA4.74%
Debt/Equity33.00
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow¥465.8B
Free Cash Flow¥123.6B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.2
Support¥20,905.00
Resistance¥25,900.00
MA 20¥23,335.00
MA 50¥21,229.40
MA 200¥19,620.78
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.41

Valuation

Fair Value¥10,269.79
Target Price¥23,968.50
Upside/Downside-0.40%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.71
Volatility51.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.