6324:TSEHarmonic Drive Systems Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-10 - not real-time
¥6,610.00
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. is neutral at ¥6,610.00, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. The last 30 days have lost 6.9%. With RSI at 47.2 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥5,260.00 and resistance at ¥8,070.00.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 384.7 times earnings against the sector's 30.7. Consensus targets land 9.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 23.6% on a 4.7% profit margin. The 0.28% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 99.0%, a beta of 1.44 and a maximum drawdown of 38.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 384.7 times earnings against the sector's 30.7. Consensus targets land 9.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 23.6% on a 4.7% profit margin. The 0.28% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 99.0%, a beta of 1.44 and a maximum drawdown of 38.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Detailed price information for Harmonic Drive Sys Inc HSYDF from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.Detailed price information for Harmonic Drive Sys Inc HSYDF from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.Yahoo Finance1monHARMONIC DRIVE SYSTEMS 6324.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4832.69
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of -6.9%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 384.7 versus sector average of 30.7
- Dividend yield of 0.28% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 4832.69
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 384.7 versus sector average of 30.7
- Dividend yield of 0.28% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +9.1% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.60%
Profit Margin4.65%
P/E Ratio384.7
ROE3.71%
ROA2.42%
Debt/Equity20.75
P/B Ratio7.7
Industry P/E30.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.2
Support¥5,260.00
Resistance¥8,070.00
MA 20¥6,683.50
MA 50¥7,188.40
MA 200¥4,832.69
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.82
Valuation
Target Price¥7,212.22
Upside/Downside9.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.44
Volatility99.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.