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6301:TSEKomatsu Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

¥6,650.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Komatsu’s share price sits comfortably above the 20‑day simple moving average and the 20‑day SMA is positioned above the 50‑day SMA, suggesting a gentle upward bias. The MACD line remains well above its signal line, generating a bullish histogram, while the RSI hovers around the neutral midpoint, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Trading volume has been on a downward trend, yet the market‑cap size and average daily turnover keep liquidity ample, and the beta below one points to lower systematic risk despite a relatively high 30‑day volatility. Fundamentally, the company trades at a price‑earnings multiple that is substantially lower than the industry average, and its dividend yield is attractive with a payout ratio under fifty percent, supporting dividend sustainability. Strong operating cash flow, a solid cash balance, and manageable leverage combine with modest revenue growth to reinforce a value‑oriented investment case. Recent news of a modest share pullback adds a short‑term entry opportunity, while the underlying fundamentals remain resilient.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD with positive histogram
  • Undervalued relative to industry peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price‑earnings discount to sector average
  • Strong cash generation and balanced leverage
  • Continued demand for construction and mining equipment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend policy and low payout ratio
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Long‑term secular growth in infrastructure and mining markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.10%
Profit Margin9.11%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE11.39%
ROA5.81%
Debt/Equity38.28
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow¥449.0B
Free Cash Flow¥13.5B
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.1
Support¥6,164.00
Resistance¥7,165.00
MA 20¥6,571.80
MA 50¥6,649.28
MA 200¥5,948.75
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Target Price¥6,380.83
Upside/Downside-4.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.71
Volatility38.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.