6301:TSEKomatsu Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
¥6,650.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Komatsu’s share price sits comfortably above the 20‑day simple moving average and the 20‑day SMA is positioned above the 50‑day SMA, suggesting a gentle upward bias. The MACD line remains well above its signal line, generating a bullish histogram, while the RSI hovers around the neutral midpoint, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Trading volume has been on a downward trend, yet the market‑cap size and average daily turnover keep liquidity ample, and the beta below one points to lower systematic risk despite a relatively high 30‑day volatility. Fundamentally, the company trades at a price‑earnings multiple that is substantially lower than the industry average, and its dividend yield is attractive with a payout ratio under fifty percent, supporting dividend sustainability. Strong operating cash flow, a solid cash balance, and manageable leverage combine with modest revenue growth to reinforce a value‑oriented investment case. Recent news of a modest share pullback adds a short‑term entry opportunity, while the underlying fundamentals remain resilient.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD with positive histogram
- Undervalued relative to industry peers
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price‑earnings discount to sector average
- Strong cash generation and balanced leverage
- Continued demand for construction and mining equipment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend policy and low payout ratio
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Long‑term secular growth in infrastructure and mining markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.10%
Profit Margin9.11%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE11.39%
ROA5.81%
Debt/Equity38.28
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow¥449.0B
Free Cash Flow¥13.5B
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.1
Support¥6,164.00
Resistance¥7,165.00
MA 20¥6,571.80
MA 50¥6,649.28
MA 200¥5,948.75
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Valuation
Target Price¥6,380.83
Upside/Downside-4.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.86%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.71
Volatility38.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.