6269:TSEModec, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
NT$55.10
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Flexium Interconnect is trading at TWD 55.1, notably below its 20‑day (≈59.47) and 50‑day (≈59.12) simple moving averages, while the 14‑day RSI sits at 41, indicating limited upside momentum. The MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish, compounded by a decreasing volume trend, which together suggest short‑term pressure despite a market‑wide “Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 72.9).
Fundamentally the company reports a 1.5% revenue decline, razor‑thin gross margin (≈1.3%), and operating losses (‑15% margin), with trailing EPS of ‑6.92 but a modest forward EPS forecast of 0.48. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward P/E of ~115 signals overvaluation on earnings, yet a price‑to‑book of 0.82 and price‑to‑sales of 0.79 hint at relative cheapness against assets. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~19) and negative free cash flow, raising concerns about financial flexibility.
Fundamentally the company reports a 1.5% revenue decline, razor‑thin gross margin (≈1.3%), and operating losses (‑15% margin), with trailing EPS of ‑6.92 but a modest forward EPS forecast of 0.48. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward P/E of ~115 signals overvaluation on earnings, yet a price‑to‑book of 0.82 and price‑to‑sales of 0.79 hint at relative cheapness against assets. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~19) and negative free cash flow, raising concerns about financial flexibility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- RSI below 50 indicating limited buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS improvement and ~22% upside potential per analyst targets
- Low price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales suggest relative value
- Market sentiment leaning toward greed
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to growing flexible PCB demand in automotive and wearables
- High debt‑to‑equity and negative cash flow pose financial risk
- Potential for margin recovery if cost structure improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin-9.97%
P/E Ratio114.9
ROE-9.10%
ROA-5.52%
Debt/Equity18.82
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowNT$-54028000
Free Cash FlowNT$-340748864
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.3
SupportNT$52.40
ResistanceNT$66.50
MA 20NT$59.47
MA 50NT$59.12
MA 200NT$59.68
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target PriceNT$67.25
Upside/Downside22.05%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.88
Volatility49.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.