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6268:TSENabtesco Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time

¥4,982.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥4,982.00, Nabtesco Corporation shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have lost 11.9%. With RSI at 51.3 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at ¥4,104.00 up to resistance at ¥5,090.00.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 29.4 times earnings against the sector's 30.9. Analyst price targets sit 7.8% above the current price. The 1.66% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 60.6%, a beta of 1.01 and a maximum drawdown of 27.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 5/10 conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 4512.27
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of -11.9%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 29.4 versus sector average of 30.9
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 4512.27
  • Analyst targets imply +7.8% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 29.4 versus sector average of 30.9
  • Analyst targets imply +7.8% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 60.6%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.50%
Profit Margin6.97%
P/E Ratio29.4
ROE7.34%
ROA3.61%
Debt/Equity19.47
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥34.5B
Free Cash Flow¥25.4B
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.3
Support¥4,104.00
Resistance¥5,090.00
MA 20¥4,821.05
MA 50¥5,044.86
MA 200¥4,512.28
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.3

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,193.14
Target Price¥5,369.00
Upside/Downside7.77%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.01
Volatility60.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.