6178:TSEJAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
HK$8.13
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading at HK$8.13, below its 20‑day SMA (8.64) and 50‑day SMA (8.88), with a bearish MACD histogram and a RSI of 36 indicating near‑oversold conditions. Volume is rising, yet the 30‑day volatility sits at roughly 27% and the price is edging toward the identified support at HK$7.87, while resistance hovers around HK$9.24.
Valuation & fundamentals: A PE of about 9.8 versus an industry average of 17.3, a P/B of 0.55 and a dividend yield of 2.9% point to a materially undervalued position with an estimated upside of ~20%. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment in the fear‑greed index underscores market optimism, but the bearish technical backdrop tempers short‑term expectations.
Valuation & fundamentals: A PE of about 9.8 versus an industry average of 17.3, a P/B of 0.55 and a dividend yield of 2.9% point to a materially undervalued position with an estimated upside of ~20%. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment in the fear‑greed index underscores market optimism, but the bearish technical backdrop tempers short‑term expectations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA, negative MACD)
- Proximity to support level at HK$7.87
- Attractive dividend yield but limited near‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation metrics (low PE and P/B)
- Potential upside of ~20% based on target price
- Sustainable dividend payout with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong balance sheet cash position despite high debt
- Consistent dividend policy supporting total return
- Value‑oriented profile in a capital‑markets focused sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.80%
Profit Margin34.33%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE5.48%
Debt/Equity180.63
P/B Ratio0.6
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.0
SupportHK$7.87
ResistanceHK$9.24
MA 20HK$8.64
MA 50HK$8.88
MA 200HK$9.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Target PriceHK$9.79
Upside/Downside20.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility26.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.