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6103:TSEOkuma Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

NT$52.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Avid Electronics Corp. is trading at TWD 52, just shy of its 52‑week high of TWD 54.6 and well above its 20‑day (TWD 37.48) and 200‑day (TWD 40.75) moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum. However, the RSI is at an extreme 98.7, flagging severe overbought conditions, and the MACD remains bullish but may be losing steam as price approaches the key resistance level.
Fundamentally, the company shows a 57% revenue surge yet posts a negative profit margin (‑8.3%), negative EBITDA, and operating cash flow deficits, resulting in a price‑to‑book of 4.48 and a price‑to‑sales of 7.73 – both well above industry norms. The modest dividend yield (0.38%) is likely unsustainable given the negative earnings, and the balance sheet, while cash‑rich, does not offset the earnings weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI overbought at 98.7 suggests imminent pullback
  • Price near resistance (TWD 54.6) with limited upside
  • Extreme volatility (50% 30‑day) raises downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Negative earnings and cash flow despite revenue growth
  • High valuation multiples (PB 4.48, P/S 7.73) relative to peers
  • Low beta but sector cyclicality could pressure earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position may fund a turnaround
  • Revenue growth indicates market demand for its IC designs
  • Sustained dividend payout unlikely without profitability improvement

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth57.00%
Profit Margin-8.28%
ROE-4.74%
ROA-1.00%
Debt/Equity0.98
P/B Ratio4.5
Op. Cash FlowNT$-30616000
Free Cash FlowNT$-24109500
Industry P/E34.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI98.7
SupportNT$34.95
ResistanceNT$54.60
MA 20NT$37.48
MA 50NT$36.37
MA 200NT$40.75
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.38

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility50.18%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.