603806:SSEHANGZHOU FIRST APPLIED MATERIAL CO.,LTD. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-10 - not real-time
CN¥15.85
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hangzhou First Applied Material is trading at a steep premium, with a price‑earnings multiple far above the industry average and a discounted cash‑flow estimate that is less than half of the current market price. The company’s revenue is contracting, margins are thin, and the dividend payout ratio is near 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover, an RSI that is edging into oversold territory, and decreasing volume, suggesting limited upward momentum in the near term. The stock sits just above a clear support level but faces a sizable resistance barrier, while volatility remains elevated despite a very low beta, indicating price swings are driven more by sector dynamics than market beta. Overall, the valuation gap, weak earnings growth, and fragile dividend policy outweigh the modest upside from sector demand for semiconductor equipment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- RSI approaching oversold levels
- Price near recent support with decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation premium to DCF fair value
- Continued revenue contraction
- Potential stabilization of dividend payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Structural demand for semiconductor and photovoltaic materials
- Improving cash flow generation versus debt levels
- Need for a price correction to align with fundamentals
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin4.46%
P/E Ratio61.0
ROE3.90%
ROA2.02%
Debt/Equity17.05
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.8B
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.3B
Industry P/E36.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.0
SupportCN¥15.38
ResistanceCN¥19.55
MA 20CN¥17.33
MA 50CN¥17.81
MA 200CN¥16.25
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.89
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥8.21
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.92%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility61.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.