603290:SSEStarPower Semiconductor Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥109.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
StarPower Semiconductor trades at a price of CNY 109, which is far above its DCF‑derived fair value of under CNY 8 and its trailing PE of roughly 80 ×, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to both fundamentals and industry peers (industry PE ~37 ×).
The technical picture is mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (122 and 112) sit above the current price, suggesting short‑term downside pressure, while the 200‑day SMA (106) is just below price, supporting a longer‑term bullish bias. However, the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, and volume is trending down, hinting at weakening momentum. The company’s fundamentals are fragile – revenue is contracting, free cash flow is negative, and debt‑to‑equity is high at over 29 ×, yet it maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.47 % with a payout ratio under 50 %.
The technical picture is mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (122 and 112) sit above the current price, suggesting short‑term downside pressure, while the 200‑day SMA (106) is just below price, supporting a longer‑term bullish bias. However, the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, and volume is trending down, hinting at weakening momentum. The company’s fundamentals are fragile – revenue is contracting, free cash flow is negative, and debt‑to‑equity is high at over 29 ×, yet it maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.47 % with a payout ratio under 50 %.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price is near the computed support level of CNY 106
- Bearish MACD signal and decreasing volume
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term SMA below price indicating potential upside
- High industry volatility (75 % 30‑day) and low beta limiting systematic risk
- Weak earnings growth and negative free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Severe overvaluation (PE ~80 vs industry ~37)
- Elevated debt load and negative free cash flow
- Sector exposure to cyclical semiconductor demand and Chinese regulatory environment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.00%
Profit Margin8.29%
P/E Ratio79.6
ROE4.76%
ROA1.86%
Debt/Equity29.17
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥311.0M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-342740000
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.0
SupportCN¥105.97
ResistanceCN¥143.99
MA 20CN¥122.14
MA 50CN¥112.26
MA 200CN¥105.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥7.78
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility75.26%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.