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603290:SSEStarPower Semiconductor Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

CN¥109.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

StarPower Semiconductor trades at a price of CNY 109, which is far above its DCF‑derived fair value of under CNY 8 and its trailing PE of roughly 80 ×, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to both fundamentals and industry peers (industry PE ~37 ×).
The technical picture is mixed: the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (122 and 112) sit above the current price, suggesting short‑term downside pressure, while the 200‑day SMA (106) is just below price, supporting a longer‑term bullish bias. However, the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, and volume is trending down, hinting at weakening momentum. The company’s fundamentals are fragile – revenue is contracting, free cash flow is negative, and debt‑to‑equity is high at over 29 ×, yet it maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.47 % with a payout ratio under 50 %.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near the computed support level of CNY 106
  • Bearish MACD signal and decreasing volume
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term SMA below price indicating potential upside
  • High industry volatility (75 % 30‑day) and low beta limiting systematic risk
  • Weak earnings growth and negative free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Severe overvaluation (PE ~80 vs industry ~37)
  • Elevated debt load and negative free cash flow
  • Sector exposure to cyclical semiconductor demand and Chinese regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.00%
Profit Margin8.29%
P/E Ratio79.6
ROE4.76%
ROA1.86%
Debt/Equity29.17
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥311.0M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-342740000
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.0
SupportCN¥105.97
ResistanceCN¥143.99
MA 20CN¥122.14
MA 50CN¥112.26
MA 200CN¥105.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥7.78
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility75.26%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.