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6019:TADAWULAl Masar Al Shamil Education Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

CN¥2.89

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trajectory, while the 200‑day average remains significantly higher, underscoring long‑term weakness. RSI sits in the mid‑40s, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram has turned positive despite a near‑zero MACD line, suggesting a tentative bullish signal. Volume is on an upward trend, providing some support for a potential short‑term bounce toward the identified resistance near 3.39, but the price is still hovering just above the technical support of roughly 2.82. Market sentiment is extremely greedy, yet the 30‑day volatility exceeds 50%, reflecting pronounced price swings.
Fundamentally, the company reports modest revenue growth but suffers from negative operating and profit margins, a trailing EPS that is below zero, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio approaching 100%, all of which raise serious concerns about financial stability. The balance sheet shows cash far below total debt, and return metrics are negative, while the DCF‑derived fair value of about 5.0 CNY suggests a substantial upside from the current price near 2.9 CNY, albeit contingent on a turnaround in earnings and debt reduction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • negative earnings and high leverage
  • technical support testing with high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside to DCF fair value
  • increasing trading volume
  • need for earnings turnaround

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • substantial valuation gap if profitability improves
  • low beta indicating limited market sensitivity
  • strategic position in China’s media and communications sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin-22.70%
ROE-9.16%
ROA-2.19%
Debt/Equity96.02
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥255.2M
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.3B
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.6
SupportCN¥2.82
ResistanceCN¥3.39
MA 20CN¥2.99
MA 50CN¥3.02
MA 200CN¥3.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥5.03
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility52.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.