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601991:SSEDatang International Power Generation Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-17 - not real-time

CN¥5.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at 5.8 CNY, well below its 20‑day SMA of 6.99 and 50‑day SMA of 7.49 while remaining above the 200‑day SMA of 4.71, suggesting a long‑term uptrend but short‑term weakness. The 14‑day RSI sits at 34, edging toward oversold territory. Meanwhile, the MACD line is negative and the histogram is contracting, confirming bearish momentum. Volume has been decreasing, eroding liquidity support. Price is perched just above the identified support level of 5.55, leaving a narrow margin for further decline.
On the valuation side, the trailing PE of 16 is markedly lower than the industry average of 21, flagging relative cheapness. The DCF fair value of 8.31 CNY implies roughly 43% upside potential. A dividend yield of 2% with a 33% payout ratio provides modest income. However, free cash flow is negative and the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 192 is exceptionally high, casting doubt on long‑term dividend sustainability. The company generates strong operating cash flow of 37 B CNY, partially offsetting cash‑flow concerns. Utilities as a sector are traditionally low‑risk, yet regulatory and geopolitical factors in China add medium‑level risk, and the stock’s 30‑day volatility of 83% signals price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support at 5.55 with limited downside buffer
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • RSI approaching oversold but still vulnerable

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside vs DCF fair value
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
  • Long‑term SMA200 support indicating broader uptrend

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable utility cash flows offset by high leverage
  • Regulatory environment in China adds uncertainty
  • Sustainable dividend risk due to negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin6.63%
P/E Ratio16.1
ROE10.68%
ROA3.40%
Debt/Equity191.99
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥37.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2149128192
Industry P/E21.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.7
SupportCN¥5.55
ResistanceCN¥8.88
MA 20CN¥7.00
MA 50CN¥7.49
MA 200CN¥4.71
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.02

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥8.31
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility83.22%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.