601966:SSEShandong Linglong Tyre Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time
CN¥12.09
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shandong Linglong Tyre is trading at CNY 12.09, well below its 200‑day SMA of 14.71 and the DCF‑derived fair value of 16.57, indicating a notable discount. The 20‑day SMA sits at 12.47, suggesting the stock is near short‑term support but still above the 52‑week low of 11.79. Technical momentum shows a bearish trend direction, yet the MACD histogram turned positive (0.04) and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI of 35 points to oversold conditions that could spark a rebound. Dividend yield remains attractive at 3.42% with a modest payout ratio of 36%, supporting income‑focused investors.
Fundamentally, the company posts a forward P/E of 6.8 versus a trailing P/E of 16.8, reflecting expectations of earnings acceleration (forward EPS of 1.78 versus trailing 0.72). Leverage is moderate with a debt‑to‑equity of 62.7%, but free cash flow is negative, highlighting cash‑generation concerns. Volatility is elevated at 24% over 30 days, while beta is exceptionally low (0.09), suggesting limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the stock appears undervalued, dividend‑sustainable, and positioned for a potential upside if earnings improve and technical support holds.
Fundamentally, the company posts a forward P/E of 6.8 versus a trailing P/E of 16.8, reflecting expectations of earnings acceleration (forward EPS of 1.78 versus trailing 0.72). Leverage is moderate with a debt‑to‑equity of 62.7%, but free cash flow is negative, highlighting cash‑generation concerns. Volatility is elevated at 24% over 30 days, while beta is exceptionally low (0.09), suggesting limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the stock appears undervalued, dividend‑sustainable, and positioned for a potential upside if earnings improve and technical support holds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price trading below DCF fair value and key moving averages
- Oversold RSI and bullish MACD histogram hinting at near‑term reversal
- Attractive dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings growth expectations (forward EPS 1.78)
- Moderate leverage but negative free cash flow
- Potential resistance around CNY 13.46 limiting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend policy and low payout ratio
- Undervaluation relative to intrinsic DCF estimate
- Diversified export markets reducing geographic concentration risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin4.18%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE4.65%
ROA1.44%
Debt/Equity62.75
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2856762624
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.2
SupportCN¥11.79
ResistanceCN¥13.46
MA 20CN¥12.47
MA 50CN¥13.36
MA 200CN¥14.71
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.93
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥16.57
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.42%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility24.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.