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601966:SSEShandong Linglong Tyre Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

CN¥12.09

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shandong Linglong Tyre is trading at CNY 12.09, well below its 200‑day SMA of 14.71 and the DCF‑derived fair value of 16.57, indicating a notable discount. The 20‑day SMA sits at 12.47, suggesting the stock is near short‑term support but still above the 52‑week low of 11.79. Technical momentum shows a bearish trend direction, yet the MACD histogram turned positive (0.04) and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI of 35 points to oversold conditions that could spark a rebound. Dividend yield remains attractive at 3.42% with a modest payout ratio of 36%, supporting income‑focused investors.
Fundamentally, the company posts a forward P/E of 6.8 versus a trailing P/E of 16.8, reflecting expectations of earnings acceleration (forward EPS of 1.78 versus trailing 0.72). Leverage is moderate with a debt‑to‑equity of 62.7%, but free cash flow is negative, highlighting cash‑generation concerns. Volatility is elevated at 24% over 30 days, while beta is exceptionally low (0.09), suggesting limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the stock appears undervalued, dividend‑sustainable, and positioned for a potential upside if earnings improve and technical support holds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading below DCF fair value and key moving averages
  • Oversold RSI and bullish MACD histogram hinting at near‑term reversal
  • Attractive dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings growth expectations (forward EPS 1.78)
  • Moderate leverage but negative free cash flow
  • Potential resistance around CNY 13.46 limiting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend policy and low payout ratio
  • Undervaluation relative to intrinsic DCF estimate
  • Diversified export markets reducing geographic concentration risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.30%
Profit Margin4.18%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE4.65%
ROA1.44%
Debt/Equity62.75
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.9B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2856762624

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.2
SupportCN¥11.79
ResistanceCN¥13.46
MA 20CN¥12.47
MA 50CN¥13.36
MA 200CN¥14.71
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.93

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥16.57
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility24.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.