601880:SSELiaoning Port Company Limited Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time
CN¥1.62
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Liaoning Port is trading at CNY 1.62, which sits below its 20‑day (1.63) and 50‑day (1.64) moving averages, indicating short‑term pressure, yet it remains comfortably above the calculated support of 1.59. The RSI at 48 suggests neither over‑bought nor over‑sold conditions, and the MACD line has just nudged above its signal, delivering a modest bullish hint.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its trailing P/E of 27 is below the industry average of 29.8, and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value near 2.61, implying ~60% upside. A dividend yield of 1.48% coupled with a payout ratio under 40% and robust operating cash flow (>5 billion CNY) supports dividend sustainability. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 22, which tempers confidence.
Risk‑wise, the beta of 0.36 and 30‑day volatility of 18% signal relatively low market‑price sensitivity, but the decreasing volume trend and high leverage introduce liquidity and financial concerns. Regulatory exposure is moderate given the state‑influenced port sector, while geographic concentration in China adds medium‑level geopolitical risk.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued: its trailing P/E of 27 is below the industry average of 29.8, and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value near 2.61, implying ~60% upside. A dividend yield of 1.48% coupled with a payout ratio under 40% and robust operating cash flow (>5 billion CNY) supports dividend sustainability. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 22, which tempers confidence.
Risk‑wise, the beta of 0.36 and 30‑day volatility of 18% signal relatively low market‑price sensitivity, but the decreasing volume trend and high leverage introduce liquidity and financial concerns. Regulatory exposure is moderate given the state‑influenced port sector, while geographic concentration in China adds medium‑level geopolitical risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Support level at 1.59 provides downside cushion
- Neutral RSI and marginal bullish MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF implied upside of ~60%
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Undervalued relative to peers (lower P/E)
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic port assets with stable cash flows
- Long‑term growth potential in China’s logistics corridor
- Resilient dividend policy despite leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin12.78%
P/E Ratio27.0
ROE4.06%
ROA2.97%
Debt/Equity22.62
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥5.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.3B
Industry P/E29.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.3
SupportCN¥1.59
ResistanceCN¥1.68
MA 20CN¥1.63
MA 50CN¥1.64
MA 200CN¥1.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.77
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥2.61
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.48%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility18.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.