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601816:SSEBeijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time

CN¥4.81

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd. is priced at ¥4.81 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. It has lost 6.2% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 41.6, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch ¥4.76 as support and ¥5.02 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 17.2 times earnings against the sector's 27.7. Analyst price targets sit 34.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 4.6% on a 31.0% profit margin. The 2.77% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.2%, a beta of 0.00 and a maximum drawdown of 14.7%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 6/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 4.97
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 27.7
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 4.97

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 27.7
  • Analyst targets imply +34.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 31.0% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin31.05%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE6.00%
ROA4.19%
Debt/Equity21.34
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥21.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥15.6B
Industry P/E27.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.6
SupportCN¥4.76
ResistanceCN¥5.02
MA 20CN¥4.88
MA 50CN¥4.91
MA 200CN¥4.97
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.68

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥4.22
Target PriceCN¥6.48
Upside/Downside34.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.00
Volatility15.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.