We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

601666:SSEPingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

CN¥7.75

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pingdingshan Tianan Coal is trading at CNY 7.75, just above the computed support of CNY 7.08 and well below its 52‑week high of CNY 9.30. The stock’s technical profile is bearish – the 20‑day SMA (7.93) sits below both the 50‑day (8.09) and 200‑day (8.21) averages, and the trend direction flag is "bearish" despite a marginally bullish MACD histogram. Fundamentally, the company posts strong top‑line growth (17.4% YoY revenue increase) but margins are razor‑thin (gross margin 17.6%, profit margin Leverage is a major concern: total debt of CNY 34.9 bn dwarfs cash of CNY 12.45 bn, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 122% and a max drawdown of 21.6% over the recent period. Valuation metrics are stark – a trailing PE of 96.9 versus an industry average of 21, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only CNY 2.07, suggesting the market is pricing in significant risk. Nevertheless, the dividend yield is attractive at 7.72%, though the payout ratio (≈750%) raises sustainability questions. The overall picture is one of a heavily indebted coal miner with modest growth, high yield, and a price that appears stretched relative to earnings and intrinsic value.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support at CNY 7.08
  • Bearish SMA alignment and negative trend direction
  • High dividend yield but questionable sustainability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 17% offset by thin margins
  • Forward PE improvement to ~19 versus trailing PE ~97
  • Continued high leverage and volatile price action

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Structural headwinds for thermal coal and regulatory pressure
  • Debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 120% and negative free cash flow
  • DCF fair value far below current market price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.40%
Profit Margin0.93%
P/E Ratio96.9
ROE0.99%
ROA1.04%
Debt/Equity121.95
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-8354222592
Industry P/E21.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.4
SupportCN¥7.08
ResistanceCN¥8.84
MA 20CN¥7.93
MA 50CN¥8.09
MA 200CN¥8.21
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.21

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥2.07
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility44.44%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.